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Category: climate betting
This year's story so far: in May, I accepted some bets but was still trying to come to terms with Rob Dekker. In the comments there we came to agreement on the following: If both NSIDC and IARC-JAXA September 2016...
Posted by William M. Connolley at 4:53 PM • 53 Comments • 0 TrackBacks
Category: sea ice
Or perhaps part 3. I've lost track. Sea ice - and now for something just a tiny bit different refers, as does the earlier This year's sea ice. Yes, it looks like being part 3. The above is the IJIS...
Posted by William M. Connolley at 9:47 AM • 13 Comments • 0 TrackBacks
Category: climate betting
Hurrah. That saves lots of effort paying :-). Not long ago it was looking bad for the good guys (i.e., me) with a "douple dip" recession of sea ice. But a strong perforcance from the boys up north in the...
Posted by William M. Connolley at 1:43 PM • 23 Comments • 0 TrackBacks
Category: climate betting
Continuing from Three views of sea ice. Well, tis now mid-June, so the futurology aspect of the prediction is closing rapidly. Or so you would have thought. I've just taken £50 against CR for the ice being below 4.735 (he...
Posted by William M. Connolley at 4:34 PM • 33 Comments • 0 TrackBacks
Category: climate betting
The troops are getting restive. What wil happen to this year's sea ice? Rumours abound. Let's look at some pictures. Probably the least interesting is this one from NSIDC. But it looks exciting, doesn't it. Woo-hoo, look, the sea ice...
Posted by William M. Connolley at 4:35 PM • 50 Comments • 0 TrackBacks
Category: climate betting
I doubt I'll be running the ever-exciting competition again this year, due to a lack of people who strongly disagree with me (i.e., the decline will be on the long term-trend, plus some error margin). But While I'm here there...
Posted by William M. Connolley at 4:42 AM • 31 Comments • 0 TrackBacks
Category: climate betting
At some point I need to decide if I'll re-start the by-now-traditional sea ice bet for the summer. Before we start arguing over the details, remember that there is a lot of inter-annual variablity so we need to disagree *a...
Posted by William M. Connolley at 3:54 PM • 19 Comments • 0 TrackBacks
Category: climate betting
Via Quark Soup, a reminder to look at the sea ice data. IJIS have a nice pic http://www.ijis.iarc.uaf.edu/en/home/seaice_extent.htm which is better than the cryosphere today pix. I have a somewhat different take on it to DA: looking at that pic...
Posted by William M. Connolley at 7:20 PM • 27 Comments • 0 TrackBacks
Category: climate betting
I was going to rant about Lord "I know what you should hear" Ahmed but that's just the religious suppressing freedom of speech, which is hardly news. But then along comes a much more interesting rant, from Vicky Pope, about...
Posted by William M. Connolley at 3:41 PM • 36 Comments • 0 TrackBacks
Category: climate betting
I encountered [[J Scott Armstrong]] via his wiki entry, and the blogosphere, when he proposed a $20,000 bet with Gore (though since each side was supposed to put up $10,000 this seems like puffery from the start). JA pointed out...
Posted by William M. Connolley at 6:40 AM • 6 Comments • 0 TrackBacks
casaubon's book 02.13.2012
denialism blog 02.13.2012
respectful insolence 02.13.2012
evolutionblog 02.12.2012
starts with a bang! 02.11.2012
