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Category: climate betting
Via Quark Soup, a reminder to look at the sea ice data. IJIS have a nice pic http://www.ijis.iarc.uaf.edu/en/home/seaice_extent.htm which is better than the cryosphere today pix. I have a somewhat different take on it to DA: looking at that pic...
Posted by William M. Connolley at 7:20 PM • 27 Comments • 0 TrackBacks
Category: climate betting
I was going to rant about Lord "I know what you should hear" Ahmed but that's just the religious suppressing freedom of speech, which is hardly news. But then along comes a much more interesting rant, from Vicky Pope, about...
Posted by William M. Connolley at 3:41 PM • 36 Comments • 0 TrackBacks
Category: climate betting
I encountered [[J Scott Armstrong]] via his wiki entry, and the blogosphere, when he proposed a $20,000 bet with Gore (though since each side was supposed to put up $10,000 this seems like puffery from the start). JA pointed out...
Posted by William M. Connolley at 6:40 AM • 5 Comments • 0 TrackBacks
Category: climate betting
Asks climatematters@columbia. But they ask it in a way that suggests they think the trend is going to be steep. So I offered them the standard bet. We'll see. Meanwhile, anyone interested in whether 2009 is likely to be a...
Posted by William M. Connolley at 5:06 PM • 22 Comments • 0 TrackBacks
Category: climate betting
Sea ice again. I was reading Gareth who had been reading Monbiot. And so I did too. After I'd waded through the goo and the dribble about Bush, the first item of substance was A new summary of the science...
Posted by William M. Connolley at 5:30 PM • 15 Comments • 0 TrackBacks
Category: climate betting
It looks like I'm safe for this year. I'm being just a teensy bit premature, but its rather unlikely to change, people want to pay up :-) and others have said it anyway (irritatingly that link will probably fade, so...
Posted by William M. Connolley at 1:19 PM • 14 Comments • 0 TrackBacks
Category: climate betting
People have been posting comments about the sea ice again. We're close to the min, though maybe not there yet, but from http://www.ijis.iarc.uaf.edu/en/home/seaice_extent.htm, which I think is the best pic available, it looks good for the good guys. The original...
Posted by William M. Connolley at 2:36 PM • 15 Comments • 0 TrackBacks
Category: climate betting
Eat your hearts out real scientists :-) See here. I think its hung off a trip in the icebreaker that QS got; see his blog I get to say Bets have already been laid on whether this summer's ice loss...
Posted by William M. Connolley at 4:46 PM • 19 Comments • 0 TrackBacks
Category: climate betting
Since RC has posted on the sea ice, maybe its a good time for an update. From http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/ we have So its clearly going to be a close run thing. At the moment the trend line favours the good guys...
Posted by William M. Connolley at 4:33 PM • 41 Comments • 0 TrackBacks
Category: climate betting
The summary of betting on sea ice refers. If you look in my comments, you'll find any number of well intentioned people advising me that its time to close up the bets before I take a bath. But I haven't....
Posted by William M. Connolley at 6:03 PM • 35 Comments • 0 TrackBacks
Highly Allochthonous 11.05.2009
Eruptions 11.05.2009
Not Exactly Rocket Science 11.05.2009
Corpus Callosum 11.05.2009
Starts With a Bang 11.04.2009
