Eat your hearts out real scientists :-) See here. I think its hung off a trip in the icebreaker that QS got; see his blog I get to say Bets have already been laid on whether this summer's ice loss...
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Posted on July 18, 2008 4:46 PM • 19 Comments
Since RC has posted on the sea ice, maybe its a good time for an update. From http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/ we have So its clearly going to be a close run thing. At the moment the trend line favours the good guys...
Posted on June 28, 2008 4:33 PM • 41 Comments
The summary of betting on sea ice refers. If you look in my comments, you'll find any number of well intentioned people advising me that its time to close up the bets before I take a bath. But I haven't....
Posted on May 8, 2008 6:03 PM • 35 Comments
As I said before, I don't think much of the latest prediction of cooling. But apparently , the authors take it seriously, and believe it as a prediction (pers comm). So RC has decided to see if they are serious....
Posted on May 8, 2008 5:17 PM • 17 Comments
Via JEB, a report of what is called a bet on global warming. However, in a fit of holier-than-thouness, both side have decided to give their winnings to charity, and have picked *the same* charity, so its all a bit...
Posted on March 2, 2008 4:41 PM • 2 Comments
Gareth inquires if bets are still available for 2008. The answer is yes (although I reserve the right to remove them at a moments notice when things turn against me). At the moment, NH ice seems to be back to...
Posted on February 4, 2008 4:13 PM • 18 Comments
Eli suggests I start hedging. Well no. Mostly because the sums people have been prepared to put up so far are trivial. But partly because getting over-exciting about one exceptional year would be really silly, and there does seem to...
Posted on December 13, 2007 4:57 PM • 5 Comments
Just a post-of-record, following Brian Schmidt, that I have a $333 bet against Joe Romm, with me taking the "cold side" of: at no time between now and the end of the year 2020 will the minimum total Arctic Sea...
Posted on December 3, 2007 3:50 PM • 24 Comments