The Statistical Problem With Soccer

The best soccer team on the planet has just over a 1 in four chance of winning the world cup even it it makes it to the last stages of the season. I suppose this is because they play for, like, four hours and each side gets, like, zero or one points. So it’s kinda like being really really good at flipping a coin. And I’m exaggerating only a little.

Or at least, that’s how it is according to this blog post.