Tropical Storm Colin

Colin will almost certainly not become a strong hurricane or reach landfall as a hurricane, so we should be looking out for Danielle the next name in the sequence.

According to NOAA, Colin will continue to strength and follow a WNW path until curving north. It will maintain tropical storm status or possibly (ca 25% chance) reach low level hurricane strength at most between 1.4 and 4 days from now and stay that way for a few more days without strengthening. After that, the models diverge so a lot of different things could happen, but most likely dissipation.

(Keep in mind, of course, that a tropical feature can under certain conditions reorganize and become a factor again, though that is not likely here.)

Comments

  1. #1 Dpiv
    August 3, 2010

    Not-so-patiently waiting to see if the surf is going to be right Sunday or if I have to take Monday off…

  2. #2 Spiv
    August 3, 2010

    That’s me up there. I’m just incapable of typing my own name.

  3. #3 Peromyscus
    August 3, 2010

    According to the 5 pm update, Colin has degenerated into a remnant low, and the Hurricane Center will no longer track it.

  4. #4 Greg Laden
    August 3, 2010

    Indeed, Colin seems to have died an untimely death.

  5. #5 Greg Laden
    August 3, 2010

    On the other hand, the Western Sahara looks interesting right now.