Nobel Prize Betting Pool

It’s that time of year again, when the Nobel Prizes are announced– the official announcements will be made starting next Monday. And, as usual, people are speculating about who will win, on both an amateur and professional basis.

Meanwhile, as we’ve done in the past, I will offer a valuable prize to anyone who predicts the winners of any of this year’s Nobel prizes:

Leave a comment on this post predicting the winner(s) of one of this year’s Nobel Prizes. Anyone who correctly picks both the field and the laureate will win a guest-post spot on this blog.

Rules and conditions are the same as last year. Comments must be posted by 11:59 pm Sunday, October 4 to be eligible. One entry per commenter per field, please.


  1. #1 chezjake
    September 28, 2009

    I understand that Pete Seeger has been nominated for the Peace Prize. I have no idea what his chances are, but a win would be wonderful — both for the environment and for recognition of the rights of everyone worldwide.

  2. #2 Thony C.
    September 28, 2009

    I tip Emmy the Queen of Niskayuna for the Literature Prize ;)

  3. #3 Steve
    September 28, 2009

    Physics: Vera Rubin.
    Chemistry: Harry Noller.

  4. #4 Brett
    September 28, 2009

    I’ve got a list somewhere of people I think should definitely win Nobel prizes, mostly in physics. Last year, the top pair on my list, Kobayashi and Maskawa finally won. Since somebody has suggested Vera Rubin, I’ll suggest that she wins half the physics prize and the other half is split between the Toomre brothers, for their work on colliding galaxies and galactic evolution. Alas, Fritz Zwicky, the other pioneer in that area is long, long deceased.

  5. #5 Alex
    September 28, 2009

    Stefan Hell for physics.
    Eric Betzig for physics.
    John Pendry for physics.

    All of these guys have done important work on overcoming the diffraction limit.

  6. #6 Misha Lemeshko
    September 28, 2009

    Stephen Hawking – in physics,

    F. Ulrich Hartl and Arthur Horwich – in chemistry

  7. #7 Josh
    September 28, 2009

    As much as I’m a big fan of Stephen hawking, I don’t really see how he’d the prize. His contributions to mathematical physics have been enormous but Hawking radiation has yet to be observed.

  8. #8 David Pendlebury
    September 28, 2009

    Thomson Reuters 2009 Predictions:

  9. #9 Neil Robinson
    September 28, 2009

    For Physics I’ll predict it will be A. Geim and K. Novoselov

  10. #10 Thomas Larsson
    September 28, 2009

    I will be PC and suggest a woman. Either Very Rubin for dark stuff, or Mildred Dresselhaus for nanotubes.

  11. #11 perry
    September 28, 2009

    Kimble, Wineland, and Zeilinger. Quantum info.

  12. #12 MRW
    September 28, 2009

    Chemistry: George Whitesides

    Only because he’s the only person I’ve collaborated with who is realistically in the running.

  13. #13 Sujit
    September 28, 2009

    Physics: Aharonov and Berry
    Chemistry: Richard Zare

  14. #14 Stephen
    September 28, 2009

    For the last few years I’ve taken the long odds and guessed Stephen Hawking. Since we haven’t yet seen any strong evidence for Hawking radiation, I’ll go ahead and guess Guth and Linde for inflation.

  15. #15 Douglas Natelson
    September 28, 2009

    Physics: Aharonov and Berry (same pick as last year).
    No Hawking until experimental observation of Hawking radiation. No Higgs until experimental observation of Higgs boson. No graphene b/c it’s too soon.
    Chemistry: Possibly Ijima, though Zare is a good one. Perhaps Whitesides?

  16. #16 ASG
    September 29, 2009

    Chemistry: Michael Gratzel or Richard Heck

  17. #17 HI
    September 30, 2009

    Same predictions as last year, except for the Physics Prize.

    Physiology or Medicine: Elizabeth Blackburn & Carol Greider
    (Shinya Yamanaka will win eventually, but perhaps it is too soon.)

    Chemistry: Harry Noller, Peter Moore & Thomas Steitz

    Physics: Alain Aspect? & Anton Zeilinger?
    (I’m ignorant about the field, but a prize for quantum measurement and quantum information seems possible.)

  18. #18 Curious Wavefunction
    September 30, 2009

    Chemistry: Ada Yonath (ribosome)
    Medicine: Akiro Endo (statins)

  19. #19 bvincent
    September 30, 2009

    Chemistry: Zare and Moerner
    Physiology or Medicine: Weinberg
    Physics: Kleppner

  20. #20 jonny the bonnie
    October 1, 2009

    it’s gonna be Genzel in physics. They completed a full orbit around the black hole in the galactic center!

  21. #21 Rahul Khopkar
    October 1, 2009

    Either Physics or Chemistry: Geim & Novoselov
    Economics: Nordhaus
    Medicine: Burgdorfer

  22. #22 Cathy Sander
    October 5, 2009

    Just in:
    Elizabeth H. Blackburn, Carol W. Greider and Jack W. Szostak
    have won the Nobel Prize for Medicine! Congratulations!

  23. #23 Thomas
    October 5, 2009

    Physics: Vera Rubin

  24. #24 Jeff
    October 6, 2009

    Physics: Wineland/Aspect/Zeilinger

  25. #25 Jyoti Ballabh
    October 6, 2009

    Chemistry- Professor Robert S. Langer MIT

  26. #26 Chris Buzzard
    October 2, 2011

    Economics: Paul Romer

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