Nobel Prize Betting Pool

It's that time of year again, when the Nobel Prizes are announced-- the official announcements will be made starting next Monday. And, as usual, people are speculating about who will win, on both an amateur and professional basis.

Meanwhile, as we've done in the past, I will offer a valuable prize to anyone who predicts the winners of any of this year's Nobel prizes:

Leave a comment on this post predicting the winner(s) of one of this year's Nobel Prizes. Anyone who correctly picks both the field and the laureate will win a guest-post spot on this blog.

Rules and conditions are the same as last year. Comments must be posted by 11:59 pm Sunday, October 4 to be eligible. One entry per commenter per field, please.

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Physics: Vera Rubin.
Chemistry: Harry Noller.

I've got a list somewhere of people I think should definitely win Nobel prizes, mostly in physics. Last year, the top pair on my list, Kobayashi and Maskawa finally won. Since somebody has suggested Vera Rubin, I'll suggest that she wins half the physics prize and the other half is split between the Toomre brothers, for their work on colliding galaxies and galactic evolution. Alas, Fritz Zwicky, the other pioneer in that area is long, long deceased.

Stefan Hell for physics.
Eric Betzig for physics.
John Pendry for physics.

All of these guys have done important work on overcoming the diffraction limit.

As much as I'm a big fan of Stephen hawking, I don't really see how he'd the prize. His contributions to mathematical physics have been enormous but Hawking radiation has yet to be observed.

For Physics I'll predict it will be A. Geim and K. Novoselov

By Neil Robinson (not verified) on 28 Sep 2009 #permalink

I will be PC and suggest a woman. Either Very Rubin for dark stuff, or Mildred Dresselhaus for nanotubes.

By Thomas Larsson (not verified) on 28 Sep 2009 #permalink

Kimble, Wineland, and Zeilinger. Quantum info.

Chemistry: George Whitesides

Only because he's the only person I've collaborated with who is realistically in the running.

For the last few years I've taken the long odds and guessed Stephen Hawking. Since we haven't yet seen any strong evidence for Hawking radiation, I'll go ahead and guess Guth and Linde for inflation.

Physics: Aharonov and Berry (same pick as last year).
No Hawking until experimental observation of Hawking radiation. No Higgs until experimental observation of Higgs boson. No graphene b/c it's too soon.
Chemistry: Possibly Ijima, though Zare is a good one. Perhaps Whitesides?

Chemistry: Michael Gratzel or Richard Heck

Same predictions as last year, except for the Physics Prize.

Physiology or Medicine: Elizabeth Blackburn & Carol Greider
(Shinya Yamanaka will win eventually, but perhaps it is too soon.)

Chemistry: Harry Noller, Peter Moore & Thomas Steitz

Physics: Alain Aspect? & Anton Zeilinger?
(I'm ignorant about the field, but a prize for quantum measurement and quantum information seems possible.)

Chemistry: Zare and Moerner
Physiology or Medicine: Weinberg
Physics: Kleppner

it's gonna be Genzel in physics. They completed a full orbit around the black hole in the galactic center!

By jonny the bonnie (not verified) on 01 Oct 2009 #permalink

Either Physics or Chemistry: Geim & Novoselov
Economics: Nordhaus
Medicine: Burgdorfer

By Rahul Khopkar (not verified) on 01 Oct 2009 #permalink

Just in:
Elizabeth H. Blackburn, Carol W. Greider and Jack W. Szostak
have won the Nobel Prize for Medicine! Congratulations!

By Cathy Sander (not verified) on 04 Oct 2009 #permalink

Physics: Wineland/Aspect/Zeilinger

Chemistry- Professor Robert S. Langer MIT

By Jyoti Ballabh (not verified) on 06 Oct 2009 #permalink

Economics: Paul Romer

By Chris Buzzard (not verified) on 02 Oct 2011 #permalink