Super Tuesday Results

Super Tuesday: What does it mean for the Democratic Primary?

gregladen | March 2, 2016

As you know, I developed a simple model for projecting future primary outcomes in the Democratic party. This model is based on the ethnic mix in each state, among Democratic Party voters. The model attributes a likely voting choice to theoretical primary goers or causers based on previous behavior by ethnicity. Originally I made two models, one using numbers that the Clinton campaign was banking on, and one using numbers that the Sanders campaign was banking on. The results of the Super Tuesday primaries demonstrated that the Sanders-favoring model does not predict primary outcomes.…