Kleck's DGU numbers

J. Neil Schulman writes:

If you start a survey by asking "Have you ever been a crime victim?"
and do not survey people who answer NO because (a) their DGU prevented
them from being damaged so they don't think of themselves as victims,
therefore they are telling the truth but don't get counted AND

The NCVS does not ask any question like "Have you ever been a crime
victim?". You haven't actually read the questions in the NCVS have
you?

This is the current screening used by the NCVS for their violent
crimes survey. It replaces one which was even more crime-oriented
than threat-oriented, in use for fifty percent of households as
recently as the 1994 NCVS.


Violent crime screener questions

New

  1. Has anyone attacked or threatened you in any of
    these ways --

    a. With any weapon, for instance, a gun or
    knife --

    b. With anything like a baseball bat, frying
    pan, scissors, or stick --

    c. By something thrown, such as a rock or
    bottle --

    d. Include any grabbing, punching, or
    choking,

    e. Any rape, attempted rape or other type of
    sexual attack --

    f. Any face to face threats --

    OR

    g. Any attack or threat or use of force by
    anyone at all? Please mention it even if you are
    not certain it was a crime.

  2. Incidents involving forced or unwanted sexual
    acts are often difficult to talk about. Have you
    been forced or coerced to engage in unwanted sexual
    activity by --

    a. someone you didn't know before

    b. a casual acquaintance OR

    c. someone you know well

Notice that the question "Have you ever been a crime victim?" does not
appear. I would have thought that Mr Schulman would apologize for
misleading the readers of the newsgroup, but he didn't.

Now, I just used that screening on my father, who as I said, defended
himself five times.

His answer was "No" to these questions, and the survey would have
ended there.

My father would not have been surveyed because in all his DGU's,
he perceived the threat early enough not to be taken by surprise,
and pre-empted it by letting the potential attackers know that
he was armed.

Huh? Question 1g asks about any sort of threat at all. Yet you say he
"perceived the threat". Was there or was there not a threat?

The National Self Defense Survey, by focusing on the act of defense
itself in its screening, is designed to detect them. The NCVS -- as
Kleck and Wolfgang have written -- does not.

Utterly false. Kleck only counted cases where "the defender could
state a specific crime that was being committed at the time of the
incident" (p162). You would expect such an incident to show up when
the NCVS asks questions about that specific crime.

Tags

More like this

Steve D. Fischer writes: The NCVS is clearly the most lied-to study in the manifold of studies we have available to date. Even your pal, Colin Loftin has accused it of undercounting your "direct family" spousal abuses by a factor of 12 and rapes by a clean factor of 33. I'd call that lying of a…
kebarnes writes: Are Kleck's numbers concerning the self-reporting of robbery and burglary incidences from this survey out of line with the comparable NCVS results, for instance? Rs to Kleck's survey reported that 5.5% (274/4977 Rs) had been a burglary victim within the past year, and 2.5% (124/…
Alternatively, a respondent making up a DGU, or describing a friend's DGU as if it happened to someone in the respondent's household will tend to make him or herself the defensive gun user. Joel Friedman writes: While I do not disagree, your estimate of 70% / 15% is just that an estimate. It is…
In other words, the NCS only counts defensive uses against crimes. Andy Freeman said: Wrong. NCS doesn't get into defensive uses unless the victim thinks that a crime occurred even if it was successfully self-defended against. As in "Have you been the victim of a crime?" Someone who successfully…