Just a short post to draw your attention to mpgillusion.blogspot.com.
Update: now on RC
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There's a thread on twitter, started by "@JacquelynGill" noting "The Day After Tomorrow", "@ClimateOfGavin" replying that "it was that movie and lame sci community response that prompted me to start blogging", and continuing "Spring 2004 was pre-RC, Scienceblogs, etc. Deltoid was around, Stoat, @…
A couple of years ago, a blog post of mine appeared in the List of References of a paper. Unfortunately, the form in which it was cited was this:
#16 Zivkovic B. Clock tutorial #6: To entrain or not to entrain, that is the question. (2005); Available at: http://circadiana.blogspot.com.
As you can…
The latest is http://connelleywatch.blogspot.com/. I'd be slightly more honoured if my watcher was watching closely enough to spell my name.
[Update: they have (silently) taken my comment to heart and moved it to http://connolleywatch.blogspot.com/]
[Late update: thanks to JG for the pic: ]
David Appell has a rather dramatic graph:
It is from Roy Spencer. As DA says: I'm sure those skeptics who pored over every detail of the sea ice this winter will be touting this picture soon :-).
[Update: BCL points me to http://bigcitylib.blogspot.com/2009/07/pielke-sr-respnds.html which again…
That's a concept which has been floating around in the US for several months now. See for example http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=91703607
Australis uses L/100 km, I thought much of the (metric) world did this?
The calculation assumes miles driven is inelastic. It is crap.
What's still missing in the equation is the amount of 'gas' used to build the car (and to transport the components and/or the car halfway around the world etc).
That is, the move from a less fuel-efficient car to a more efficient car requires to drive thousands of miles only to "offset" the amount of greenhouses gases you put in the air by acquiring the car. And if you want to reduce your driving to lower your carbon footprint, it will take longer in time also to offset this.
Or stated otherwise, it is almost never a good idea to buy a new car. Keep and maintain the one you own will save more on greenhouse gas and your wallet than buying whatever alternative.
And yes, it will create a move of jobs away from car manufacturing to car repair and maintenance.
The numbers still favor improving the low MPG car even when you take elasticity into account. For the example at RC, % change of Q high MPG car = .67 % change of Q low MPG car if the elasticities are the same. Plug in the short term elasticity of demand for gas as an estimate of the elasticity of demand for miles travelled in terms of gas (-.26 from here) with the car as a given (it will actually be lower since some people are car shopping in a given short run, but we'll be conservative). You get the low MPG car driving around 11,000 miles and using 616 gal vs 830 gal before for a savings of 214 gal. High MPG car drives 11,500 miles using 253 gal of gas compared with 400 gal before for a savings of 147 gal. If my math is correct, elasticity of demand would have to be -1.67 for the two to even out.
I think this point is a little misguided. Yes, it is normal in continental Europe to quote car fuel consumption in l/100 km, but the result is the same: we want to know how far we can get on a tankful and how much it costs us.
The following changes (rounded) will all result in a saving of 1 gallon per 100 miles but note the %age improvement:-
67 -> 200 +200%
59 -> 141 +141%
50 -> 100 +100%
41 -> 71 +71%
33 -> 50 +50%
26 -> 35 +35%
20 -> 25 +25%
15.0 -> 17.7 +18%
11.1 -> 12.5 +13%
8.1 -> 8.8 +9%
I would argue that the saving of 1 gallon does *not* have the same meaning to someone towards the bottom of that list as it does to someone near the top. We are more likely to appreciate a saving as a %age. Reducing my fuel costs by 10% would be no big deal, but halving them would! By the same token, shouldn't a profligate user be expected to make the same effort as the already abstemious? The %age difference represents that effort; the 1 gallon reduction does not.