Arctic sea ice betting pool at Lounge of the Lab Lemming

By khannula on June 21, 2009.

Two summers ago, the extent of Arctic sea ice reached a historic low. What's it going to do this year?

Chuck at Lounge of the Lab Lemming has opened a betting pool. No money involved; winner gets to make him blog on a topic of the winner's choice. (This is a good prize; Chuck is funny.) Bets are in the form of extent and uncertainty, and Chuck's got a useful graph that illustrates how he plans to judge the winner. (It also includes all the sea-ice minima since 2002 in a handy graphical form, which is useful for those of us who prefer pictures to words and numbers.)

He's also interested in seeing how the guesses are distributed given different backgrounds (climatologist, non-climatologist, random friend). So go pick a number, any number, and see how you do.

More like this

Sea ice: I'm in Nature again

Eat your hearts out real scientists :-) See here. I think its hung off a trip in the icebreaker that QS got; see his blog I get to say Bets have already been laid on whether this summer's ice loss will be more than last year's. William Connolley, a software engineer who used to model sea-ice…

More melting news

I spent five years of my life in Canada's Arctic and not a day goes by that I'm not reminded just how powerful an impression those years left made on me. When I read the latest news on arctic sea-ice extent, I wish more people would recognize just how important what happens up there is to the rest…

Influence of high-latitude atmospheric circulation changes on summertime Arctic sea ice?

Also known as Qinghua Ding et al., Nature Climate Change (2017) doi:10.1038/nclimate3241; published online 13 March 2017 (PDF as submitted). And the abstract: The Arctic has seen rapid sea-ice decline in the past three decades, whilst warming at about twice the global average rate. Yet the…

Sea ice minimum kerfuffle

The summary of betting on sea ice refers. If you look in my comments, you'll find any number of well intentioned people advising me that its time to close up the bets before I take a bath. But I haven't. Anyone wanting to pile in is still welcome (if you can't be bothered to look up the previous…

Advertisment

Donate

ScienceBlogs is where scientists communicate directly with the public. We are part of Science 2.0, a science education nonprofit operating under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Please make a tax-deductible donation if you value independent science communication, collaboration, participation, and open access.

You can also shop using Amazon Smile and though you pay nothing more we get a tiny something.

Science 2.0

Science Codex

More by this author

Blog vacation

January 18, 2010

My mother noticed that I hadn't been blogging much lately. That's true - in fact, I made a New Year's Resolution to stop blogging, at least for the semester. I've got additional responsibilities this semester which are keeping me extra busy, so I'm putting the blog aside for the next few months.…

Women-in-geoscience and blogs presentation: the blog version

December 30, 2009

I've been reading both geoblogs and women-in-science blogs for a while, and watching the support networks grow around them. So when I looked through the Geological Society of America's list of session topics for the 2009 annual meeting and saw one about "Techniques and Tools for Effective…

Other people who are blogging about AGU

December 16, 2009

If you're like me, and you're currently not in San Francisco, listening to people discuss rapid coastal erosion in the Arctic or argue about whether or not an impact caused the Younger Dryas or show off cool imaging techniques to monitor active volcanoes... well, none of the geoscientists at…

Levels of expertise and peer review: when is it ok to criticize the process?

December 13, 2009

I had a weird experience dealing with journals and peer review a little while ago. Recent discussions of the CRU e-mail hack (especially Janet's) has made me think more about it, and wonder about how the scientific community ought to think about expertise when it comes to peer review. A little…

Going to AGU? Want to talk about geoblogging?

December 8, 2009

From the American Geophysical Union's Twitter feed ( @theAGU ): Looking for a geoblogger to discuss blogging at Communicating your Science workshop Sunday Dec. 13 morning #AGU09 Contact mjvinas@agu.org (I'm not going. Have fun in San Francisco - I'll be at home, grading.)