Alaska Caucus
gregladen | March 26, 2016Today and tomorrow we have the Alaska, Hawaii, and Washington Democratic primaries.
According to the model I developed prior to the last primary, which predicts future primaries using information about primaries to date (which I've not updated from last Tuesday), Sanders will win all three primaries. That model suggests that the delegate spread by the end of the day will look like this:
However, I also developed an alternate model which assumes that Sanders' over performance (in relation to the afore mentioned model) requires an adjustment. That alternative model suggests that this will…