Paul Krugman

Paul Krugman tunes out the noise: Temperature is a noisy time series, so if you pick and choose your dates over a short time span you can usually make whatever case you want. That's why you need to look at longer trends and do some statistical analysis. But I thought that it would be a good thing to look at the data myself. So here's the average annual global temperature since 1880, shown as .01 degrees C deviation from the 1951-80 average. What this tells me is that annual temperature is indeed noisy: there have been many large fluctuations, indeed much larger than the up-and-down in the…