Here's an odd factoid:
If Virginia and Montana go Democratic, the prediction markets called every race correctly.
It's also worth noting that Tradesports currently gives George Allen a 4 percent chance of retaining his Senate seat.
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Ms. TfK, normally not a fan of my political posts, asks for clarity on the Senate situation.
Two races are too close to call right now: Jim Webb and George Allen in Virginia, and Conrad Burns and Jon Tester in Montana.
George Allen was a frontrunner in the 2008 GOP presidential race until his…
(I think that I'm done updating this post for now, as the results show no indication of changing significantly. I'll have more to say about the election tomorrow.)
A Democratic majority in the Senate is all but certain, as Montana and Virginia both appear to have gone to the Democrats. This means…
I'm trying to figure out how many Senate seats, and which ones, will switch from Republican to Democratic in November 2016.
At present, 54 Senator caucus with the Republicans, and 46 caucus with the Democrats (two of those are Independant).
We should be shooting for a good majority of 61, just…
It's official now. Republican candidate for the Virginia Senatorial seat, George Allen, has conceded the election, making Democrat Jim Webb the official winner. This means that the Democratic takeover of both the House and Senate is now complete and official.
Although Allen would have been…
Well, that may be true, but similar markets predicted that republicans would hold the senate.
They're far from perfect.