Time running out for Lott

No new developments in the Lott case today. This is bad news for Lott. The Chicago Tribune story was published a week ago. If Lott had a dozen students doing interviews for a month in 1997, you would expect them to have told their friends about what they were doing. If each interviewer told three different friends about it, we have a pool of about 50 people who could tell us about the survey or put us in contact with someone who could. I would guess that roughly one third of these, about 16 people, would still be in the Chicago region. The Chicago Tribune claims to reach 46% of college graduates in the Chicago region, so you would expect 46% of 16 or about seven of these people to have seen the article. None of them have come forward. The numbers here are only approximate so this is not dispositive, but this points to Lott not having done a survey.

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