The primary happens tomorrow, and I'm ready with my predictions (see my Iowa outcome).
Republicans:
McCain - 33%
Romney - 30%
Huckabee - 14%
Paul - 12%
Giuliani - 7%
Thompson - 3%
Hunter - 1%
Keyes - 0%
Democrats:
Obama - 45%
Clinton - 30%
Edwards - 19%
Richardson - 4%
Kucinich - 2%
Gravel - 0%
Pretty obvious, the main thing is that I think that we haven't seen the Obama crest in the polls, and I suspect that Paul will do better than Giuliani because of the dynamics of the New Hampshire electorate.
More like this
What's so funny?
Yes, I know that my science blogging has been light as of late but I couldn't resist putting up this article I found in today's local fishwrapper.
While most of the candidates vying for the Republican presidential nomination have been in a race to see who can most shamelessly pander to the Religious Right, Rudy Giuliani has more or less remai
tags: Former NYC Mayor Giuliani, Ferrets, and Freedom, politics,
Hmmm. Don't forget to post the results and your score. :)
The BookCrossers discussion group was circulating Berke Breathed's Opus cartoon about piety in election campaigns:
http://www.comics.com/wash/opus/archive/opus-20080106.html
You're guaranteed to be wrong, since your Democrat percentages add up to 102%.
You can add up to 102% with accumulated rounding errors - just consider the possibility that the unrounded values are almost halfway down to the next lower unit percentage: 44.6%, 29.6%, etc.
On the other hand, there's nobody named "Gravell" in the Democratic primary. ;)
Did you post this before or after Hillary shed her tears? You may want to take the possible "butterfly effect" of that emotional outburst into consideration.
Did you post this before or after Hillary shed her tears? You may want to take the possible "butterfly effect" of that emotional outburst into consideration.
before. but i'll stick with my predictions. her advisers are declaring a single-digit loss a 'win' now.
Looks like both your and my Dem predictions might be wrong.
yeah, odds on chance that obama will lose by 1% at this point (he is closing the lead too slowly).
Her people are calling a win a win now. Go figure.
Never trust the media to predict elections, they know nothing.