Awesome chart from Calculated Risk:
Blue = current Bear Market
Gray = Great Depression Bear Market
Check out Google Trends for "Great Recession."
- Log in to post comments
More like this
Calculated Risk has a great chart showing GDP fluctuations which puts into perspective just how big a downtown the Great Depression represented, and how it compares to the current one. For the population ~30 and under the current downswing is already 3 times more extreme from the peak than any…
I have a pretty good track record on the economic crisis. In 2007, I pointed out that the "slowdown" that people were saying was absolutely not a recession, was, in fact, a recession. In 2008, I pointed out that most major economic downturns of the past century haven't been very brief - although…
This chart shows what the stock market had been doing since the summer
of 2007, when the effects of the economic crisis were openly recognized
by the Administration. You can see that that various
interventions have resulted in brief improvements, but nothing
sustained. The overall trend clearly…
We now all know the limitations of Standard and Poor, what they missed and what they didn't, why to blame Republicans, why to blame Obama, and that Austerity is the new watchword in the US, while rioting has taken everyone's imagination in the UK (wow, aren't we timely?) Most of us are worried…
"Awesome" is one word for it. Note the lack of any sharp bear-market rallies this time around compared to 29-32. It's been pretty much going down like waterfalls. So don't be fooled if there's a sudden uptick - it may well mean nothing.
I love Calculated Risk! The Baseline Scenario is also a very good econ blog for following the collapse.
It's a great chart. But (I'm assuming this is calculating this in terms of USD but) I think it would be even better if it calculated it in terms of gold, so you could see what's happening, without having things distorted by inflation.
"Failure" as hoped for by some is how far down?
Oh, I think there was a very sharp drop around September-November of last year. I wonder what could have been going on in the mind of the non-"genius" but self-interested investors then?
"Failure" as hoped for by some is how far down?
Interesting comment, especially since our president has told us that we should ignore the stock market...
Meanwhile, the NY Fed, which has reliably predicted the end of practically every recession, projects that it will end in 2009:
http://mjperry.blogspot.com/2009/03/ny-feds-model-predicts-end-of-reces…