2010 Hurricane season begins

The 2010 hurricane season has begun, and has done so with a hard blow to Guatemala, including dozens of fatalities (83 so far). Ironically, this storm was not particularily violent, not even getting above tropical storm status, but the rainfall was very intense.

As always, the best place to follow the hurricane season is Jeff Master's Weather Underground.

His introductory pst to this season lists the following reasons to worry about the months ahead:

  • "unprecedented sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic"
  • the ending of El Nino conditions
  • a million refugees from the recent earthquake in Haiti with even less protection from a hurricane strike than that population usually has
  • ever higher concentrations of people living on the Gulf Coast

He also mentions the BP Deepwater Horizon oil spill, though there is little known about how that will effect hurricanes, if at all, and vice versa. Go there for the fascinating details.

I also want to recommend this article at James Hrynyshyn's new blog "M" with some good background on the developing science of tropical cyclones and climate change.

Suffice to say, we will be adding a few more lines to the graphic below!

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More like this

We now have Tropical Depression 4 (perhaps soon to be Tropical Storm Debby) just off the African Coast. First forecast discussion here. Satellite here. Jeff Masters thinks this one will stay over the ocean; apparently waves that develop this early almost always do. More soon....for now, hold off on…
Added: The depression has spun up to form a tropical storm. It will probaqbly remain a storm as it works its way up the Atlantic Ocean avoiding land (though it seems to be aimed ultimately at Greenland). The storm is named Melissa. Details here. ________________ We have had a record breakingly…
Ingrid is serious and is going to hit something. (UPDATE: Ingrid is the second hurricane of the Atlantic Season.) A tropical disturbance of one form or another has been hanging around since around the beginning of the hurricane season in or near the southern Gulf of Mexico, and the latest instance…
Well well well. 15 named storms this year after all. The last (um, we think) is in the Caribbean right now, spinning way past the season's official endpoint. Its name is Olga. It started out subtropical, but has since become a fully tropical storm with maximum sustained winds of 50 knots at its…

Hi Coby, the link to this season's introductory pst didn't work for me.
It seems a few places are experiencing anomalous rain this year. I would be interested in seeing a graphic of relevant statistics, if such a thing existed.

Hijack? I doubt anyone's going to pay attention to such drivel (if you squint you can see the flecks of spittle).

[N.B. This refers to a now deleted comment]

On a more pedantic note: "Suffice to say, we will be adding a few more lines to the graphic below!" Really? Check the graphic title...

:^)

[Don't spoil my fun! ;-b ]