Who is the farting three-legged dog in this scenario, you ask?

evil A delightful phrase that I've just discovered. And the answer is, it is John Vidal; and so Peter Wadhams is the wind. Perhaps that's just a bit closer to the knuckle than even I tend to sail but its late on a Friday night. Thanks to VV on twitter for the first link and a variety of folks for the second.

This is the familiar "Time to listen to the ice scientists about the Arctic death spiral" type nonsense, only in this case - as pointed out on twitter - we're being urged not to listen to the opinions of scientists in general, but only to the extreme fringe of opinion. Or in JV's words:

In a new book, published just as July 2016 is confirmed by Nasa as the hottest month ever recorded, this most experienced and rational scientist states what so many other researchers privately fear but cannot publicly say – that the Arctic is approaching a death spiral which may see the entire remaining summer ice cover collapse in the near future.

This is the same drivel as all right-thinking people have previously agreed was drivel, so why is the Graun re-publishing it? The answer of course is that little phrase "a new book". Need I say more? No? Good, because I'm sick of this nonsense.

Meanwhile, back at reality:


* Analysis of Robin McKie’s “Next year or the year after, the Arctic will be free of ice” - at Climate Feedback
* You vant more Vadhams? Ve got it! On da Beeb! Radio 4 no less; try 2:46. Presenter Dude pushes him a bit with getting previous predictions wrong and Ed Hawkins; Wadhams waffles in reply and Presenter Dude of course folds, because this is science, so she didn't understand Wadhams reply.

More like this

As you all have no doubt noticed over the years, I love highlighting the best science books every year via the various end of year lists that newspapers, web sites, etc. publish. I've done it so far in 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013,2014 and 2015. And here we are in 2016! As in previous years,…
Ah, there's nothing like pouring oil on troubled waters with a carefully chosen post title, or defusing a potentially unpleasant confrontation with a cheery image. The backstory: for quite some time now people have been making implausible predictions about the Killer Arctic Death Spiral of Death.…
Over at NoTricksZone they claim they're desperate to bet that (Arctic) sea ice will increase, not decrease, in the "future". However, the cheapskates are only offering $1k, which isn't worth getting out of bed for out to 2022. I offered them $10k, and a closer date, and guess what - they jumped at…
I am going to try to keep all the climate science ice bucket challenges here as they occur. At present there are quite a few individuals who have not yet answered the challenge. I'm sure they will. Some of them, in the Northern Hemisphere, may be waiting for it to get colder so the act becomes…

Your point?

Reality sucks, but the bunnies knew that

By Eli Rabett (not verified) on 19 Aug 2016 #permalink

I agree. Catastrophism unsupported by good scientific evidence is not doing anyone any favors.

By Harry Twinotter (not verified) on 19 Aug 2016 #permalink

Jeezy Petes, did Wadhams really say there will be 4-5 ice free months per year in the Arctic? Or was that a reporter's over-exuberance?

[Buy the book and find out :-) -W]

By Raymond Arritt (not verified) on 20 Aug 2016 #permalink