Turnout

Poll workers this morning said turnout was high. At 8:30, I was the 74th voter of the day.

Great weather, which I suspect will help Hillary, but there's no way to know until this evening. If my sense that Hillary voters tend not to feel strongly, then good weather helps her. If my sense is right that undecideds will break for Obama, but may not decide until standing in the voting booth, good weather could help Obama. Maybe it's a push.

Zogby's last polling sample puts Obama way up in California, but SUSA's last poll has Hillary way up. SUSA's polls have tended to favor Hillary, and Zogby has tended to favor Obama, so again, it may be a push.

Obama does seem to be winning the small donor primary, raking in more than twice what Clinton raised in January. He's consistently taken in more of his money from small donors, which means he'll know he owes his victory to the people, not to a handful of moneyed interests.

It'll be an interesting night. I intend to be at the SF Obama celebration/consolation watch party tonight, and I look forward to seeing you there as well. Vote, then head over.

More like this

The democratic party is polling tomorrow in Pennsylvania. The conventional wisdom says that there is a number of percentage points reflecting Clinton's expected win above which this would truly count as a win for her, and below which it could be perceived as a victory for Obama. If Obama "wins"…
It is far too early to predict the outcome of the Democratic Party primary. Personally, I like both of the candidates and will support whichever one is selected to run in the general election. Both candidates have strong reasons to vote for them, and each candidate has their own “electability”…
Donald Trump is the president elect of the United States. Why? Trump did not win because he is widely liked. He is NOT widely liked. A very small number of Americans voted for Trump, and this number was magnified by the conservative-state-favoring electoral college, and most of those who did not…
Remember the Democratic New Hampshire primary? According to news organizations and many pollsters, the NH primary was supposed to be the loss that put Hillary Clinton out of contention and sealed an early nomination for Obama. Yet Clinton staged a surprise victory. At the time, Washington Post…