William M. Connolley
stoat
Posts by this author
May 31, 2007
Bush said something about climate change. Sounds like the usual nothing to me: My proposal is this: By the end of next year America and other nations will set a long-term global goal for making sure we don't have to do anything in the near future. Sorry, that should read ...for reducing greenhouse…
May 29, 2007
James Annan has been McIntyred and just for once I find the IPCC position indefensible.
May 25, 2007
A while back I noted a paper in CPD that questionned the "there is an 800 year lag of CO2 at deglaciations" meme which has become such a favourite of the septics recently (most people go with the "yes its true but irrelevant", but the maybe its not true is also possible). When I noted the paper…
May 24, 2007
Following JFs example, I've created a rather more useful comparison: see . Proof that weasels are more popular than stoats. Isn't technology wonderful?
May 24, 2007
Last night to the Beer festival to... drink beer. And to admire the beer mats, since Miriams company (as in, the one she works for, not the one she owns, sadly) is one of the sponsors. Don't forget to click through to their wonderful website and buy some of their wonderful products. Although you…
May 24, 2007
Kevin Vrames at Climate feedback has a nice post on a perverse-incentive problem with one part of the CDM. Which is one small part of the reason I don't buy any offsetting at the moment.
May 21, 2007
The IEA are the Institute for Economic Affairs. The quote on their mainpage shows what they think of themselves The price of economic freedom is eternal vigilance, and as long as the IEA is around, we may be sure that the forces of regulation and state control will have a formidable obstacle in…
May 18, 2007
RP Sr has had two previous attempts to knock holes in the IPCC WG I and they were both embarassing failures ([1] and [2] (the latter expanded at 2a)). Emboldened by this, he's had a third go which is just as bad.
Am I being too cruel and unkind here? I'm assuming anyone posting to the blogosphere…
May 17, 2007
5 year trends from surface temperature are not very significant and are a bad measure of anything. As everyone should know. But it seems that some people don't. So in tedious detail...
Pick up the HadCRU temperature series from here. Compute 5, 10 and 15 year trends running along the data since…
May 17, 2007
The Nude Scientist has produced a Climate change: A guide for the perplexed with some common myths explained, correctly as far as I can see. There is also a blog on it which has already degenerated into the usual rubbish, ho hum.
May 15, 2007
I find that I need to understand the "defining dangerous climate change stuff". Up to now I've rather dismissed it as someone else's problem but now I need to know more. This is not a very satisfactory post, in part because I ran out of time to finish it. Its more a request for feedback, possibly…
May 15, 2007
March was wet, it rained all the time; April was dry (2mm in Cambridgeshire, I think); May is very wet again (though we had a lovely afternoon in Ashridge for my mothers birthday). Will the pattern keep up?
May 13, 2007
Oh dear oh dear oh dear, just take a look at Citizendium's article on Global Warming (though I have cheated slightly; the current version, while still rubbish, is marginally better).
The question is, what to do about it? At the moment my answer is "nothing" - Cz is not going to get taken seriously…
May 12, 2007
From the title, you can tell I'm not very keen on him. I'm writing this not because my thoughts are terribly valuable on him, but because its a convenient place for me to write this where I'll remember it. Because on previous things - like, say, the invasion of Kosovo - I've tended to forget, after…
May 11, 2007
Via the Global Change newsgroup, and James Annan, I read a Proposed Global Climate Change Statement by the AAPG. The AAPG are the only known scientific (are they? probably close enough) organisation to have a totally wacko statement on climate chage and its clearly embarassing the saner folks over…
May 11, 2007
Oh dear, now we have Does The 2007 IPCC Statement For Policymakers Accurately Present The Observations Of Recent Global Temperature Trends? [2014 update: dead URL. Here's a wayback machine link] on the grounds of a lack of trend over the last 5 years (actually "statistically significant", though…
May 10, 2007
There is a fairly weird paper entitled Suggestive correlations between the brightness of Neptune, solar variability, and Earth's temperature by Hammel and Lockwood. Why is it weird? Various reasons, which I'll try to explain here as best I can, but it really needs someone who knows more about it.…
May 10, 2007
From the grauniad, the paper copy even: the US military are posting their war on youtube: MNFIRAQ (the one I watched was this). I find this completely weird and disturbing. And it certainly doesn't look like the end of combat operations. Can it be long before we end up with live feeds from helmet…
May 9, 2007
Um, I do like my new category of "climate snarking", since it allows me to offend people but get away with it because I'm being ironic. Or something. Anyway: Natures Climate Feedback blog has undergone a quiet revamp. Perhaps they have been listening to Eli? Unlikely I know - no one else does (…
May 9, 2007
There is a curious post over at CA about yet more TGGWS tedia... read on if you can bear it. This time the issue is the 1990 IPCC graph, which McI seems to accept uncritically despite its lack of good source (see wiki for more). TGGWS used the old graph uncritically; this is obviously wrong.
This…
May 9, 2007
An interesting pointre TGGWS comes my way:
We have concerns regarding the use of a graph featured in the documentary
titled "Temp & Solar Activity 400 Years". Firstly, we have reason to
believe that parts of the graph were made up of fabricated data that were
presented as genuine. The inclusion…
May 6, 2007
Interesting to see that M&M, Landsea and Wegman all get thanked for contributing to TGGWS (from Brian commenting at Deltoid). This contradicts McI, who says I had nothing to do with the Swindle presentation; though of course we don't know who is wrong. Given Durkins history of gross errors,…
May 5, 2007
As someone sitting across from his wife looking across my laptop screen at her laptop screen, I rather liked this. And the cartoon is funny too.
May 4, 2007
Prompted by some comments over at CA I've been wondering again about the Hans von Storch and Eduardo Zorita post at Nature. A moment ago I said that McI was justifiably annoyed that S/Z appeared to be claiming prior credit for demolishing the HS (just for ref I don't think it has been demolished,…
May 4, 2007
More framing stuff... oh dear. From Dave Roberts. Found whilst trying to establish whether "world climate report" is notable by wiki standards (Got an opinion on that? Feel free to comment here or on wiki...). Anyway, DR says:
Consider RealClimate. Did the scientists involved in the site really…
May 4, 2007
Nature has started a new blog, http://blogs.nature.com/climatefeedback/. So far so good, I wish them well, and it will be interesting to see how it goes on.
The fun aspect of all this is the fight for readers and commentors; a blog with no comments is hardly a blog at all. RP Jr has a post up that…
May 3, 2007
Climate change sceptics melt under spotlight, Columban priest reports. But no report from the meeting, sadly.
May 2, 2007
JF points out Arctic Ice Retreating More Quickly Than Computer Models Project, which says "Arctic sea ice is melting at a significantly faster rate than projected by even the most advanced computer models... the Arctic's ice cover is retreating more rapidly than estimated by any of the 18 computer…
May 1, 2007
UBS to launch first Global Warming index says the FT (just next to an advert about high net worth individuals designed to annoy scientists...).
Its not perfectly clear what its doing (I'm hoping James will investigate!). They say
Retail and institutional investors will also be able to buy exposure…