unthinkables

Cordesman of the CSIS has a presentation on potential Middle East nuclear conflicts

From the Center for Strategic and International Studies, Nov 2007, where Anthony Cordesman is a fellow.

Iran, Isreal and Nuclear War
- 77 page pdf version of a ppt presentation.

Some interesting graphics - eg satellite imagery of the Arak heavy water reactor, which the Iranians claim they are now making fuel elements for - sucker is dug in deep.

Some of the stuff is scare figures - eg hypothetical 1 MegaTon Iranian strike on Riyadh. No likely that Iran will have a thermonuclear device in the time frame considered unless the Russians sell it to them.

Interesting though, in the same sort of way that a good horror movie is interesting.

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