Adam Shand's claim that it is just an assumption that summer is warmer than winter has achieved international fame.
Shand removed any remaining doubt about where he stood with the classic move of copying a long list of papers that he reckoned questioned global warming from a AGW denial website. However, it seems he hadn't read any of them since he included Annan and Hargreaves "Can we believe in high climate sensitivity?, which supports the consensus that climate sensitivity is 3K per doubling of CO2.
But no matter how ridiculous a claim is, you can always find someone in blogspace to defend it. I give you Jason Soon and co at Catallaxy, who use their usual tactic of name calling. First, Joe Cambria (that's the fellow I banned for calling one of the Lancet authors Dr Mengele):
Lambert's doing his usual shit by Lamberting the reporter and falsely accusing the him of making this suggestion as a "highish" probabilty. This is the problem with the poisonous cherub as he always seems to focus on these sorts of cracks where lies and deception poisons the well.
Jason Soon eggs him on:
Guys we have to get our story straight Is he a dwarf, a cherub or a hobbit?
And Joe Cambria comes up with:
I've always thought this dude is serial killer material. Not kidding.
So there you go.
Yikes! You're a scary guy. I'm glad I moved to Melbourne where I'm safer from your murderous midgit ways.
Gosh. I was undecided as to whether anthropogenic climate change was a basic, obvious truth or a conspiracy theory concocted by an international cabal of grant-hungry scientists, but hearing Cambria call you a "poisonous cherub" has completely decided it. After that bombshell, it is obvious that the data is still uncertain...hockey stick... IPCC fraud... no scientific consensus... Al Gore is fat... etc etc.
Not only are they Aware Of All Internet Traditions, it's also quite likely that Their Understanding Of Economics Is Quite Complete.
It's καÏαλλάξια, baby!
Maybe we have a new definition:
Shand job: the act of comment wankery over a made-up affront, signaled by a new Cheeto-stain on your pants that you have to lie to your mom about.
Best,
D
Dano for the thread win I think but I'll add the descriptor "Joe Cambria[n]":
"an opinion as passe and full of rocks as the time period and location bearing the same root name."
Tim as "serial killer"? I link to a public photo of Tim (per his permission, if copyright police are about) during my university class lesson on good science blogging and their reaction is that they want to fly to Oz and drink beer with him.
Well, as C.S. Lewis pointed out, the higher a creature is, the worse it becomes when it goes wrong. Cherubim are the second-highest of the nine ranks of angels; one that exists in the direct presence of God. Satan was a fallen cherub according to the book of Ezekiel. And get out of your mind any picture of chubby little nude babies with wings, those are "putti," not cherubs. A cherub is more like a griffin.
No wonder Tim became a serial killer when he fell. Now all we have to do is find the evidence that links him to the long trail of mutilated bodies. Tune in next week for: CSI - Global Warming Denial!
Up until this point I've accepted the overwhelming evidence in support of AGW. However after finding out that Tim L. is a hobbit, I now realise I've been the victim of an vast conspiracy theory involving a number of vertically challenged creatures, possibly including leprechauns.
PS - If someone accused me of being a serial killer, I'd sue them. Just sayin'.
Mr Cambria does seem to be toying with potentially defamatory comments there, how absolutely charming.
It'd be nice to think that this decent into adhoms is merely a rhetorical ploy, but I get the sense with these guys that they're genuinely unable to distinguish between attacks on ideas and attacks on the person holding them.
well tim, it seems your unrelenting sacrifice of poor lovable third worlders at the altar of Rachel Carson has been recognized by the Friends of Truth and Justice. It's too late to save those billions of dead children, but there's still time to save the campaign for ending hunger on earth from being robbed of funding by the greedy climatology cartel. Al Gore is fat.
Viewers of The Venture Brothers will realise that Tim is neither a dwarf, a cherub or a hobbit, he's Tim-tom, one of the Murderous Moppets.
I hate to jump the good ship science, but z has a point with the fat thing. I also don't trust anyone with a beard to tell me not to spray for bugs.
And shaving off the beard just makes it worse. you had the beard, keep it. Al Gore, now you're just pretending to be clean-cut. It's like spraying air freshener to hide the marijuana fumes.
It turns out that Cambria was [calling Marion Delgado a serial killer](http://catallaxyfiles.com/?p=3631&cp=1#comment-101210). I think that makes it worse. Because he was banned from here Cambria is even defaming commenters here. [This Usenet posting](http://groups.google.com/group/sci.anthropology/msg/48640a9bade479cb) resulted in a judgement of $40,000, and because he egged him on, Soon my be liable as well. What do people think?
Can't seem to face up to the facts.
Tense and nervous. Can't relax.
Serial killer
Qu'est-ce que c'est?
Fa fa fa fa fa fa fa fa fa fa
Just read some of that thread at Catallaxy. Ugh. I feel the urgent need to soak in Dettol for a week. That JC is a seriously nasty piece of work, though hardly alone in that behaviour over there. (JC does seem to have an awful lot of time on his hands, he is posting every minute or three.)
However, anybody with half a brain is not going to take what they say seriously. That is partly why they are so obnoxious, nobody pays any attention to them screeching at each other, and it really bugs them. Their total influence on public policy and society is vanishingly small.
Ignore them. They are not worth the time. You got much bigger fish to fry.
Though I am a little disappointed in Jason Soon, I thought he had more intelligence and talent than that, and could actually make a genuine contribution to public debate. Guess I was wrong.
Better run, run, run, run,
Run, run, run away...
just a few weeks ago someone at larvatus prodeo suggested I should start reading/commenting on catallaxy because it is full of "thoughtful people" who "love liberty" or some such. I'm glad to see they're living up to the description, and that I was too small-minded and bigoted to test it out. That's an hour of my life I would never have got back!!!
There's probably not much use in asking an international audience that question. In the American context, that statement would be unlikely to win a judgment. In the Australian context, who knows? Besides the Aussies, that is.
> I feel the urgent need to soak in Dettol for a week.
WotWot, if that's still not enough, I recommend this.
(OK, that was a self-promotional blurb.)
bi - brilliant.
The theory of scientific reality is just that, a theory.
btw, jc hates me MORE now that i always killfile and never respond to him (I see killed jc posts all over). But in general (a) J.C.? hating? mirabile dictu! and (b) Agreed, the typical thread on that thing is quite off-putting. But I like Cambria's implication that *I* am Unabomber-like, very much.
The first three, and perhaps thus most important, "chapters" of the Unabomber Manifesto (after the "Introduction" is called "THE PSYCHOLOGY OF MODERN LEFTISM," "FEELINGS OF INFERIORITY" and "OVERSOCIALIZATION." All three deal with Leftism as the paradigm disease of our age.
Take it away, Unabomber!
FEELINGS OF INFERIORITY
OVERSOCIALIZATION
And last but not least, I am the serial killer, yes, but Lambert is still a cherub. Meaning, a high rank in the angelic host, if the yahoos understood Abrahamic religions.
bi.
Thanks for some powerful antidote. I must get the formula off you one day.
triglossia Triple-tongued? He he.
LOL. I never read the Unabomber but he comes across as a more reasonable version of Rush Limbaugh.
Not to be annoying or moreso than normal. Only posting here again to point out my unforgivable negligence in skipping over the earliest posts. Prior credit for the discovery that the climate, etc. trolls are ignorant of Angelology goes to Barton Paul Levinson.
saurabh, WotWot: thanks!
WotWot:
> I must get the formula off you one day.
There's a Latin grammar and a "Declaration of Independence" font, and more. But most of it is probably magic pixie dust.
> triglossia Triple-tongued? He he.
First there was diglossia. In any case, I think it was first. :)
@anonymous 37 (#17):
An allegation of paedophilia wouldn't win a judgment in the States?
Robin Levett asked:
Not if it's true; and sometimes not even if it isn't.
yeah, to win libel/slander in the US you have to prove that the statement was made both with malicious intent and in the full knowledge that it was false. they take "free speech" very literally here. unless you are criticizing the administration's handling of a war during the period while it is still popular, of course.
@Robert (#30):
I was rather assuming it wasn't true; after all, if true it certainly wouldn't get a judgment in the UK, and the same is I believe true in Oz.
So just all these other papers support skepticism of AGW:
Environmental Effects of Increased Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide
(Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons, Volume 12, Number 3, 2007)
- Arthur B. Robinson, Noah E. Robinson, Willie Soon
*[Rest of list snipped]*
Interesting... Skeptical Peer Review does exist
Skeptical Peer Review,
Have you actually looked at these papers? If so, can you tell us which actually deny anthropogenic climate change? I have a looked at some and find that they give a rather different perspective to the one that you are claiming. Some (e.g. Fischer et al. 1999) don't even seem relevant. One (I'm not telling you which, but it is in a proper journal, not the embarrassing Energy and Environment and its ilk) even says: "Our review does not disprove a significant anthropogenic influence on global climate" , which somewhat undermines your point. Of course if you have actually read them, you will know this.
Interesting... Skeptical Peer Review does exist
rarely.
Energy and environment for example does NOT do peer review.
could you guys please stop posting this stupid list and start by READING the papers? and taking a look at the sources?!?
So Skeptical Peer review says:
I rather suspect that SPR (the poster) is a parody, either intentional or unintentional...
After all, the Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons reviewing an article on environmental effects of increased atmospheric carbon dioxide? Perhaps they can contribute to the environmental health effects portion of the argument, but they are rather less qualified to comment on the ecology, let alone the physics, of climate warming.
Of course, if we can accept medical opinions on AGW, it begs the question as to why we can't listen to a former vice-president who has the temerity to comment upon climate science.
But however you slice and dice it, if the Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons is the bulwark of the Denialist position then they have a poor foundation indeed.
What kind of nincompoop would present this source as a reference of first resort?
Oh, that's right...
...it was Adam Shand, even before the ironically named Skeptical Peer Review underscored the, well, irony.
One of my hobbies is trying to understand the origins, motivations, and (sometimes) psychopathologies of various forms of anti-science thinking.
The topic areas range widely, from:
- beliefs in astrology, UFO-abductions, etc, i.e., stuff well-covered by The Skeptical Inquirer
to
- anti-AGW denialism
There is clearly a wide variety of mechanisms that go beyond normal scientific skepticism:
- economic interests
- ignorance of science, automatic distrust of science
(and often amplified by Dunning-Kruger Effect)
- ideological viewpoints
- political positions
- psychological need to be against the mainstream
So, since Adam Shand is outside my milieu, can any of you Aussies with more direct experience speculate, not just on his specific comments, but the origins & motivations involved? Does he just do this with AGW, or with other areas where science & policy interesect?
background;
"http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_of_American_Physicians_and_Sur…"
Ewww.
Following z's nudge I had a bit of a wander through some sites giving background on the AAPS, and I have to say that I would like to modify my statement at #36, to wit:
I knew that they were, um, 'conservative', but a bit of a poke below the skin reveals that they're nuttier than a rutting ram's scrotum. My reviewed response is that the American Association of Physicians and Surgeons has almost nothing sensible to say even on matters of health and medicine. And I say this having worked (as a biomedical scientist) with physicians and surgeons for 15 years. They certainly have no objective capacity for comment on matters even remotely pertaining to climate change.
No prizes for guessing why their 'journal' doesn't have a stratospheric impact factor. Shand's humiliation for referring to such tripe should be absolute.
Oh, the ignominy...
"No prizes for guessing why their 'journal' doesn't have a stratospheric impact factor. "
impressive title, though.
Yes of course delete the list and pretend the hundreds of skeptical peer-reviewed papers do not exist. Censorship is all the alarmists have anymore. The Fischer paper supports the fact that CO2 lags Temperature changes.
Just a note the skeptics do not believe in astrology, UFO-abductions or even creationism. But it is nice to try and label people you don't even know as loons when it is those promoting AGW who don't even understand computer systems or their limitations which is why they can be suckered into believing anything based on flawed models.
Posted by: Skeptical Peer Review | July 8, 2008 3:13 AM
One does not need to "[understand] computer systems or their limitations" to be promoting AGW. Even the doubtiest of Thomases eventually comes to believe the evidence of their own lyin' eyes when nature decides to put on a show of force.
Not so long ago I did a google search on polar melting. This BBC article dated Thursday, 27 December, 2001, 20:16 GMT came up with the following reassuring heading: Low probability of ice collapse:
Compare that rosy scenario to the March 2008 video of the collapsing Wilkins ice shelf, located in West Antactica.
The globes climate freezer is defrosting. Nothing like this has happened during the period of human civilization. And most scientists never saw it coming within our lifetime.
The implication is that mainstream global warming "models are flawed" alright. But they err on the optimistic side.
Perhaps the global warming skeptics should be turning their corrosive disposition on the Panglosses in establishment climatology.
Skeptical Peer Review (sic) says:
Quite simply, SPR (sic), your 'list' is about as reliable as a condom made of rice paper. If you do not understand why this is so, you are only compounding your public display of cluelessness.
So do all the models that support AGW. Your point is...? Do you understand how this pertains to the contemporary global warming phenomenon?
By the way, it is not that I label people as loons, but rather that they label themselves thusly by their own unsubstantiated, uneducated, uninformed, ill-considered and/or unintelligent words. And so it is apparent to all the rational folk reading this thread that you are determined to ensure that you are perceived as a first-class loon with bells on.
I gave you an out a couple of days ago - you should have claimed parody...
What is it with July? Is it brainless-troll season, or did someone just unlock the door to the cellar?
Remedial summer school is in session, and those forced to repeat science courses have found that appearing to work hard at the computer by displaying their poor understanding of the subjects they've flunked on blogs fools the teacher into thinking they're busy learning something.
And that's a remedial run-on sentence, so there!
"those promoting AGW who don't even understand computer systems or their limitations "
well Tim, I guess he's got your number.
z:
This is simply a plot to make us "kill Sceptical Peer Review" like the terrorists we are!
And it worked! Look for new posters called Scientific Amiability, Useful Dialog, Sound Science, Dissident Views ...
P.S. Tim Lambert is a cherub. Cherubim do not know computers. He's outsourcing his courses to an imp, eft, or some sort of incanabulum.