President Obama experienced a significant post-convention bounce. Already a little bit ahead, this places Obama more firmly ahead of Romney. But, the news would be so much more interesting if the two were much closer. How does one solve this problem if you are CNN? Make stuff up!
Yesterday CNN reported polls that showed Obama ahead of Romney by several points in key swing states of Virginia, Ohio and Florida. Then, according to Steve Singiser, "CNN's Gregory Wallace, writing up the polls on the media outlet's website, categorized Florida and Virginia as a tie. A tie.
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Or more accurately, it's the revolt of the liberals. Personally, it's none of my business whom Republicans nominate for president, but, to me, Romney seems to be a strong electoral candidate (albeit one disliked by the Tea Party/theopolitical base). Why?
Liberals.
Hunh? Let me explain.
I've been…
I'll be jotting notes here. Feel free to jot notes in the comments.
Bernie Sanders re-elected
6:22 PM Central: Virginia reporting good numbers for Obama. Larger turnouts than 2008 in VA.
6:54 PM Central: Senate: 30 DEM seats called, 37 GOP seats.
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Romney did three things at the debate:
1) He totally randomized his policies, thus putting into effect an excellent version of the Chewbaca Defense;
2) He made up his own rules, forcing Obama to follow them and embarrassing PBS and Jim Lehrer; and
3) He made a bunch of independents giddy, so when…
Got to keep those eyes on the adds. Recall that is the major purpose of news organizations to get eyes on their adds all else is extra.
Don't look at polls. Look at Bookmakers. Polsters don't lose money if they get it wrong. A bookie has to get it right to run his business.
Current odds (18-19 Sept)
Obama 100/30 On
Romney 7/2
For those unschooled
If you put $10 on Obama winning you get $3 back (plus the $10 stake- a total of $13)
$10 on Romney gets you $35 (+$10 stake)
The less the payout, the more likely the bookie thinks it will happen.
The bookies think Obama will win.
(the 'On' means the odds are effectively reversed - if Obama was 100/30 then a $10 bet would win $33.33)