IPCC Leaked Already?

Back when I was first on my learning curve about climate science, I remember always being confused about the date for each report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The official publication date would be in one year, but as soon as you did any background research, you would learn that everyone had been chit-chattering about the report in the media well before the year of official publication.

Now I understand why. Although the IPCC's fourth assessment report isn't supposed to be out until 2007, the British media are already waving around a draft version of it. IPCC drafts are extremely easy to get your hands on; they're emailed around to countless scientists. But wouldn't it be better to wait until the process is a little bit more complete before leaking? Can't the Brits contain themselves a little bit?

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By Harris Contos (not verified) on 01 Mar 2006 #permalink

I can't fault the BBC for wanting to report on what appears to be a substantial revision to the general consensus on global warming. One of the great virtues of science is how it's a process where the debate is open and the conclusions are not presented as some kind of fait accompli by the scientific cabal to the public, despite what some conservatives here in America would have us to think, like the folks at Powerline.

By David Wilford (not verified) on 01 Mar 2006 #permalink

From the BBC story

[The IPCC's] latest draft report will be sent to world governments next month.

Probably some of the people writing the report want to get the word out before the governments start spinning.

The British media just loves printing leaked reports. It's not about the news, but the one-upmanship among journalists and editors in particular. Especially compared to the US market, it's hard to understand quite how competitive the British media, especially the tabloid press, are, and how petty they can be in their competition. The Sun infamously leaked the Hutton report, which was supposed to be unleakable, and was crowing about it for months afterward.

By Ginger Yellow (not verified) on 01 Mar 2006 #permalink

It certainly is interesting that the U.S. media is not running this stuff....

Well the facts as reported aren't a story anyway. And since the source is UK scientist (almost certainly) whose identity isn't known there's not a great deal to go on...