As much as I love New York, Superbowl XLII's got nothing on Super Tuesday!
So folks, with 3,156 delegates to be allocated, let's hear some predictions for today's historic 24-state White House nominating showdown...
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Obama!
Contrary to previous expectations, my vote in the April Democratic primary here in Pennsylvania may make a difference after all.
It certainly looks like Ohio will have a say in March as well.
I'm pleased with the two candidates who remain viable, though Senator Clinton was a distant 5th or 6th choice for me when this got started and we had Edwards, Richardson, and Biden in the race.
As for the Republicans, Senator McCain has global warming right, and I think that issue has the potential to trump all others for our long term future.
In short, I like the way things are shaping up for November.
I hope Fred is right about that Ohioans votes will matter in next month's primary. I'm siding for Obama right now, but Clinton has a great science platform as well as Chris Mooney pointed out in an earlier post at The Intersection.
If a lot of young voters get out there today, then I think Obama's has a good shot.
Miss Sheril,
I'm reserving judgement until next Tuesday when Virginia, Maryland and DC voters go to the polls for our primaries. No doubt this will be an interesting evening fo rmany, us politicalpundits included. But what does it really mean? Un til each side selects a candidate and cements a platform, all the campaigning is just an interesting side show. Perhaps I've grown a tad cynical since coming "inside the Beltway." Perhaps I'm just suffering from campaign fatigue. But my vote doesn't yet count, so until I pull the lever, why invets too much emotion in this?
And an interesting bit of political trivia - when Maryland voter do go to the poll snext week, our ballots will contain all the Democrats that have dropped out. Wouldn't it be fun to send all of Maryland's delegates to the Convention locked in for someone other then Obama or Clinton?
I predict that, even though Super Tuesday will be a tight one, when we get to vote in NC, it will all be decided already.
Philip:
Wherever a candidate was able to get enough signatures to be on the ballot, their name will still be on the ballot. I voted here in Georgia this morning, and even though some people call it "throwing your vote away", I voted for John Edwards. On the Democratic side (rules differ by state for Republicans), as long as a candidate gets 15% of the popular vote for a state, that candidate will receive some delegates, based on the percentage of vote per district.
I would be okay with any of the Democratic candidates (Hillary was my next to least favorite, still rating high above Gravel), so I still gave my support to Edwards in the hope that he could pick up a few more delegates. If the Democratic nomination went down to the wire (which I doubt), then Edwards could use his delegates for some leverage when it comes to the nominee and the party platform.
I have several concerns. While some are excited about the fact that their "votes will count" on SuperTuesday, I wonder what Democratic voters in Florida and Michigan think about that matter. Will their votes count? Will the Democrats seat a delegation after all? How will they choose?
My other concern is about the role that nuclear power and clean coal play in the plans for all of the candidates. Neither are acceptable to me. You can have clean-er coal or cheap coal, but not both. And, we still have not solved the nuclear waste problem to anyone's satisfaction.
I may be less than enthused after I see how this plays out.
I think that most of the candidates will declare success in one form or another, and nothing will be decided in an absolute way, which is good. Unless you talk about an 'all or nothing state' with delegates, the rest of the states are entirely confusing with regard to the parsing of their delegates and commitment.
With almost eight years of Bush disaster, what's really exciting and encouraging is the interest and enthusiasm by so much of our population, including and especially the 18-30 year old group, to get involved and participate.
Ugh, first report in. My wonderful homestate republicans (who are nearly powerless in WV) have chosen... Huckabee!! Not a surprise I guess. The democratic party in WV is probably one of the most conservative democratic groups in the US, and controls nearly everything. That leaves the lunatic fringe to vote republican.
I am not sure if I could call them a 'lunatic fringe' just yet. I have a feeling that Huckabee will make a much stronger showing than anyone suspects.
As for my home state (Minnesota), it sounds like the votes are going to Romney and Obama. Of course, this is just my personal opinion tracker- nothing official- so I may be off quite a bit.
I really do hope Mcain can take the state though. If the Dems were smart they would all register Republican and make sure that he gets in. Stacking the bets, if you know what I mean.
The results are in...