Everyone seems to be making numeric predictions, so here we go:
Sebelius 57% (based on SUSA polling)
Morrison 54% (below SUSA's last poll, negative ad campaigns will make people think twice)
Moore 60% (Chuck who?)
Boyda 51% (This race will go down to the wire)
Weiss 53% (McDonald did well in the primary, add in Democratic votes and Weiss wins)
Wempe 52% (an experienced local politician with solid fundraising)
And anyone who thinks these numbers mean anything is crazy. Go vote and prove me wrong.
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The predictions
Sebelius 57% (based on SUSA polling)
Morrison 54% (below SUSA's last poll, negative ad campaigns will make people think twice)
Moore 60% (Chuck who?)
Boyda 51% (This race will go down to the wire)
Weiss 53% (McDonald did well in the primary, add in Democratic votes and Weiss wins)…
The 2016 Electoral Vote Prediction
I'm finished making predictions for the 2016 Presidential Election contest.
According to my model, Hillary Clinton will win with 310 electoral votes to Donald Trump's 228 electoral votes. The map is shown above.
Caveats and wrongosities:
My model puts Iowa barely…
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Grab three friends, toss them in your car, go to your polling place, and vote.
I have my preferences: Sebelius, Morrison, Moore, Boyda, Wempe, Weiss, Runyan, Cauble, Bill Shirley, Paul Davis, Barbara Ballard, Tom Holland, Cindy Neighbor, Raj Goyle, Marty Keenan, Dennis Phillips.
But hey, I…
In a perfect metaphor for the situation, Kansas City woke on this election day to a dense fog. As the morning progressed, the fog lifted and people could see clearly again. Here's hoping that the two states are beginning to lift the political fog and see clearly again as well. I voted.