The first ever tropical cyclone in history is about to hit the Gulf of Oman after which it makes landfall in Iran
h/t in comments on "fatigue post"
Area has no experience dealing with this weather, and there are a lot of development and industrial and oild facilities at risk.
The Nimitz and Stennis were in the gulf of Oman about 3 days ago "showing the flag" (in you face, Iran), presumably the US still has enough weather satellites to have seen this coming and backed them out into the Arabian Sea east of the cyclone track.
All these changes.
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Cyclone Gonu, in the Arabian Sea, was our first Category 5 storm of the year yesterday. Now, as I write this, it is still a very strong storm and is about to set an ominous record. As Margie Keiper puts it over at the Weather Underground:
An unusual event is happening over the next 48 hours, as…
Update: Saturday Morning
The storm is likely to start affecting land Sunday, and to make landfall late Sunday or some time Monday, probably as a Category I equivalent.
Meanwhile this is the first tropical storm I've ever seen associated on the Internet with sites that seem to want to plant viruses…
"...As the country drifts slowly to war"
Update: Why do I keep hammering on the "paranoid Iran scenario"?
Because I am worried that the decision to "take out" Iran has been made in DC, and that it is now merely a question of when, and with what rationale.
There are two considerations: one is next…
Lots of news and speculation on possible steps to mobilization by US forces to position for a strike on Iran.
They couldn't be that stupid, could they?
Old Speculation Updated.
So... in my humble and uninformed opinion, if the US were to launch a air strike on Iran, supported by Navy aircraft and…
There's a really good Gonu thread over on The Oil Drum, focussing mainly on the potential for damage to oil / gas facilities and disruption to shipping. Storm tracks, surge models, all that jazz...
At the peak level the storm was a "super cyclonic storm" corresponding a Category 4/5 hurricane... not bad for a cyclone in a part of the world where hurricane-level storms are very rare. Gonu will be the first cyclone to hit Oman since the records began in the '40s.