Anti-environmentalist writers frequently claim that after DDT had all but eliminated malaria from Sri Lanka, environmentalist pressure forced Sri Lanka to ban DDT, leading to a resurgence of malaria:
Roger Bate in Politicizing Science: The Alchemy of Policymaking writes:
Some developing countries imposed a complete ban on the pesticide, as Sri Lanka did in 1964, when officials believed the malaria problem was solved. By 1969 the number of cases had risen from the low of seventeen (when DDT was used) to over a half million.
Walter Williams in in Capitalism Magazine writes
In Sri Lanka, in 1948, there were 2.8 million malaria cases and 7,300 malaria deaths. With widespread DDT use, malaria cases fell to 17 and no deaths in 1963. After DDT use was discontinued, Sri Lankan malaria cases rose to 2.5 million in the years 1968 and 1969, and the disease remains a killer in Sri Lanka today.
Ted Lapkin in Quadrant writes:
When Sri Lankan authorities agreed to ban DDT during the mid-1960s, rates of malaria infection exploded from twenty-nine cases in 1964 to over 500,000 a mere five years later.
In his book The Epidemiologists John Brignell writes:
1948 Annual malaria rate in Sri Lanka reaches 2.8million
1962 Publication of Silent Spring by Rachel Carson
1963 DDT reduces annual malaria rate in Sri Lanka to 17
1964 DDT banned in Sri Lanka
1969 Annual malaria rate in Sri Lanka reaches 2.5million.
Jim Norton lists even more examples.
Now when you think about it, the story that they tell just isn't credible. If DDT spraying had almost eliminated malaria, and they got a new outbreak, then no environmentalists would be able to stop them from resuming spraying. So I went to the library to find out what really happened. And it wasn't hard to find out. The definitive history of malaria is Gordon Harrison's Mosquitoes, Malaria and Man and it turns out that, yes of course they went back to spraying. Harrison writes:
Sri Lanka went back to the spray guns, reducing malaria once more to 150,000 cases in 1972; but there the attack stalled. Anopheles culicifacies, completely susceptible to DDT when the spray stopped in 1964, was now found resistant presumably because of the use of DDT for crop protection in the interim. Within a couple of years, so many culicifacies survived that despite the spraying malaria spread in 1975 to more than 400,000 people.
So in 1977 they switched to the more expensive malathion and were able to reduce the number of cases to about 50,000 by 1980. In 2004, the number was down to 3,000, without using DDT.
And the reason why they stopped spraying in 1964? It wasn't environmentalist pressure. With only 17 cases in 1963, they didn't think it was needed any more. And this wasn't an unreasonable belief. In the countries where malaria had been eradicated, once the number was this low, treating the remaining cases with drugs to kill the malaria parasite was sufficient to completely eradicate it.
Just to prove that there is no question about any of this, I have extracts from Harrison and two other supporting sources here.
The anti-environmentalist version of what happened is a hoax. That doesn't mean that all the writers above were being deliberately misleading: they might be just repeating what another anti-environmentalist wrote and be unaware of the true story. AEI scholar Roger Bate, however, coauthored an entire book on DDT and Malaria which relies very heavily on Harrison's history, citing him over twenty times. They conspicuously fail to mention that Sri Lanka resumed DDT spraying and that it failed because of resistance, instead claiming that
pressure not to use DDT may have been applied by western donors using resistance as a convenient argument. Recent evidence shows that even where resistance to DDT has emerged, the excito-repellency of DDT causes mosquitoes not to enter buildings that have been sprayed (Roberts et al., 2000). Under test conditions (see Grieco et al., 2000), for at least one type of malarial mosquito in Belize (the only country in which these tests have so far been conducted),DDT is far more successful than the most favoured vector control pesticide Deltamethrin. Hence it is unlikely that malaria rates would have increased (significantly) even if resistance were found.
But malaria rates did increase even though DDT was extensively used. Harrison has an entire chapter on this. How could Bate possibly not have noticed this? (And tests on a different continent on a different species of mosquito aren't even close to relevant).
Sri Lanka isn't the only country in the world with malaria. There are many other countries where DDT would be effective, but who have been prevented from using it by environmental concerns - as your previous DDT post stated:
OK, tc, tell me the names of these countries. And how much money have you donated to help fight malaria?
The Economist, "DDT: A useful poison", Dec 14th 2000 http://www.malaria.org/DDTEconomist14_XII_00.html
EMBO reports 5, 847-851 (2004) http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/sj.embor.7400244
Curtis, CF. "Should the use of DDT be revived for malaria vector control?" Biomédica 2002 22: 455-61. http://www.ins.gov.co/publicaciones/2002_biomedica_224.pdf
BMJ 2000;320:669 ( 11 March )
http://bmj.bmjjournals.com/cgi/external_ref?access_num=10710569&link_ty…
Curtis CF. Am. J. Trop. Med. Hyg., 66(1), 2002, p. 1
http://www.ajtmh.org/cgi/external_ref?access_num=12135257&link_type=PUB…
And this is from the book by Spielman that you quoted earlier:
p.165-166
p. 204
tc, some of your sources completely downplay the problem of DDT resistance (for example, the Economist article). I think Spielman gives a really good account. (Except that DDT is not banned.) As far as I have been able to tell, Belize still uses DDT. Bolivia doesn't, but that may be because of resistance.
I think DDT should be used where appropriate and I don't agree with aid agancies refusal to fund it, but folks like Bate have greatly exaggerated its effectiveness. What is really needed in the fight against malaria is not DDT but money.
Michael Crichton: The ban on DDT was "arguably the greatest tragedy of the twentieth century....Since the ban, two million people a year have died unnecessarily from malaria, mostly children." (State of Fear, qtd. in Harvard Magazine)
Well, I didn't know much about this topic before, but judging from the evidence presented by Tim and TC, I'd say TC has me convinced. Tim, your reply to him is evasive but mostly acknowledges his argument. Do you have equally convincing sources and quotes?
The "USAID does not finance its use" (from EMBO, the final bolded section) seems to be misleading. See:
USAID website
The essence seems to be that they think that insecticide treated nets are a better/cheaper method than spraying, but further that they do fund indoor spraying when they think it's appropriate. They do appear to co-fund anti-malaria programs which involve DDT spraying.
From the article:
Further the statement "Mosquito resitance to DDT has not yet been reported" (EMBO, first bold section) is simply false, unless the report is referring to some specific geographic context?
Patrick:
I wonder how easy it is to get people to use nets? I gather that they make it hot and stuffy, so people generally avoid using them. Indonesians generally don't use them.
DDT was banned because of a book from the 70's that used lies and false science to discredit it.
Eric,
How do you know Rachel Carson's book is full of lies and false science? Why should I believe your statement?