Expect a lot more of this train of thought pushed by the Clinton campaign and various journalists and pundits over the next two weeks leading up to the primaries in Ohio and Texas.
- Log in to post comments
More like this
As you know, I developed a simple model for projecting future primary outcomes in the Democratic party. This model is based on the ethnic mix in each state, among Democratic Party voters. The model attributes a likely voting choice to theoretical primary goers or causers based on previous…
Yesterday, Barack Obama won all three contests (Maryland, Virginia, and DC) in the "Potomac Primary", all by sizable margins. This means that he has won all eight contests that have occurred since Super Tuesday. He now leads the delegate race--even when superdelegates are included--and he…
The Obama Surge may still be real, but it has hit the hard rocky shore of the Clinton Campaign in Ohio and Texas. Or has it. I heard an alternative theory explaining the patterning of the election last night that I think is pretty interesting.
This was related by Chris Matthews during election…
As you know, I’ve been running a model to predict the outcomes of upcoming Democratic Primary contests. The model has change over time, as described below, but has always been pretty accurate. Here, I present the final, last, ultimate version of the model, covering the final contests coming up in…
Lack of experience and detailed policies. This is the same lines Obama opponents have been using for a while. Only now their turning up the volume. New frame same as the old frame. Not sure if it will do them any good.
I never have been enchanted by Obama. Mostly because he has chosen to proclaim so much change and hope all while promsing nothing more than any other Democrat. In other words, Obama's change is simply more of the same.
Obama's experience is an issue for me.
For example, Obama criticizes Hillary for her vote on Iraq. The fact is that Obama was not in a position to either participate in the debate or vote on the issue. It is dishonest for Obama to claim to have made a stand on an issue when he was not in a position of accountability for your his stand.
Hillary was representing the State of New York in the United States Senate, one of the states most impacted by the terrorist attacks on September 11, 2001 whose population overwhelmingly supported the Bush position on Iraq. Hillary was accountable to the people of New York for her decision.
Obama was representing a district in the State of Illinois who did not support Bush's position. Obama's "stand" against the war is akin to giving a lecture on the evils of drink at an AA meeting.
Obama's initial position on the Iraq war was politically expedient for him to adopt. In short, it won him support and votes among a largely anti-war black constituency in Illinois.
Once the whole "Mission Accomplished" speech was delivered, however, all of the anti-war message was gone overnight. Now to resurrect the anti-war stance, and furthermore to tout it as a defining characteristic of his candidacy, seems a bit disingenuous to me.