How did I do? First, I got the rank order pretty much down! The only mistake was swapping Richardson and Biden. Second, I didn't know how the Iowa Democratic Caucus was set up...otherwise, I would have been retarded to not assume it would have taken a "Winner Take All" outcome due to the 15% threshold. Below the fold, with 100% and 96% of precincts for Dems and Repubs respectively. New Hampshire predictions forthcoming!
|Candidate||Real Results||My Prediction||Difference|
|Dennis J. Kucinich||0||2||-2|
You said you got your numbers after "reading websites for a few hours." Which websites were the most helpful?
i just read randomly on google news. all the mainstream stuff (the times, post, etc.), + the corner & tapped, as well as some of the atlantic blogs. that's about it.
It would seem that you have a future as a pollster!
Nicely done! Say ... screw the science. Spend "a few hours reading websites" about, say, horse racing!
Very Impressive Indeed! I am looking forward to the next prediction! How about one for the winner of the whole deal? Who is going to be the next president? I want to be able to pay all my attention to science. Already knowing who is going to win the whole thing would save a lot of distraction time!
Dave Briggs :~)
Sometime tonight or tomorrow raw vote percentages (as opposed percent delegates captured) will be coming out. You may want to revaluate your predictions with those numbers.
only dems though. but i think that will help me.