OK, seriously, Tomas

Tomas has been most entertaining, but now it is time to get serious. This weather feature has not exactly been a meteorological mensch but what was a depression earlier today has reformed into an actual tropical storm. It is possible that Tomas will achieve hurricane status Friday night through Saturday morning, but if so, only barely so.

Tomas will cross the western part of Hispaniola, drenching Haiti in dangerously heavy rains. The "eye" of the storm will pass father to the west than previously expected, maybe. But the track prediction for Tomas is very uncertain. The worst rains will be between early Friday morning and Friday evening.

From the Hurricane Center:

A hurricane watch is in effect for...
* Haiti

A tropical storm warning is in effect for...
* Haiti

A tropical storm watch is in effect for...
* Jamaica
* The southern coast of the Dominican Republic from the Haiti
border eastward to Barahona
* the Cuban provinces of Guantanamo...Santiago de Cuba...and Holguin
* the southeastern Bahamas...including the Turks and Caicos Islands

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Tomas is like that relationship you always wanted to believe in but that never came through to you.
... as to how strong Tomas will get in the latter part of the forecast period." Less than 48 hours ago, it was predicted that Tomas would by now be a Category One hurricane, and in a couple of more days, a Category Three hurricane, as it turned towards Haiti.
Tomas, once expected to spin up to a fairly strong hurricane, then weakened and not expected to do so, has done so. Tomas is now a serious hurricane with winds of up to 75 knots and sustained winds of 70 knots, and is expected to become stronger.
According to the current models, Tomas the Hurricane will stay around the Category One/Category Two boundary over the next four days as it moves to the west then north.

Holy crap - haven't they been hit by enough big storms this year? Or enough natural disasters in general for that matter.

By MadScientist (not verified) on 03 Nov 2010 #permalink