My latest blog entry at the Huffington Post is up: It's a reflection on the latest forecasts suggesting that, indeed, we're going to have a rough Atlantic hurricane season this year.
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Well well well. 15 named storms this year after all. The last (um, we think) is in the Caribbean right now, spinning way past the season's official endpoint. Its name is Olga. It started out subtropical, but has since become a fully tropical storm with maximum sustained winds of 50 knots at its…
The 16 storm 2003 Atlantic hurricane season (click to enlarge) -- a possible analogue for 2007?
As we get closer to hurricane season--and especially once the season starts--the forecasts become increasingly reliable. We're still a month away, though, so what follows should be taken, as always,…
It may seem a strange question to be asking in a season that, so far, hasn't yet seen an Atlantic hurricane. But while the weather in any given year can be tricky and unpredictable, there's no doubt that we're currently in an active period for Atlantic storms in general--and now, a new paper (PDF…
Especially since El Nino went away (PDF), hurricane watchers have been worrying about what kind of season we'll see in the Atlantic later this year. El Nino has a well known tendency to suppress Atlantic storms, contributing to quieter years like 2006 (click image). But now, we're expected to see…
Hi Chris,
About Hurricanes... I've been pondering the recent mild winter in Europe (compared to the significant winter of 2005/06 - very cold an enough snow to crush roofs all over Europe - even in over-engineered Germany).
It seems to me that the sever hurricane season of 2005 would have removed significant quantities of energy from the Atlantic (and hence the severe winter because there's not that much heat left to warm Europe via the Gulf stream).
Contrast that with the milder hurricane season of 2006... leaving the energy in the Atlantic; only to be routed by the Gulf stream over to Europe and give them disappointing ski seasons, higher temperatures etc.
But this is pure armchair relationship building.
In your research, meetings, etc. have you come across any discussions on this relationship? Is there anything to it?
Grateful for any info.
Your worry needs one of these .