The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) released their 2007 Hurricane Forecast today predicting a 75 percent chance that the Atlantic Hurricane Season will be 'above normal' for this year. The season officially begins June 1 and NOAA scientists predict 13 to 17 named storms. Seven to 10 are expected to become hurricanes, of which three to five could reach Category 3 or higher.
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posted by Sheril R. Kirshenbaum
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Especially since El Nino went away (PDF), hurricane watchers have been worrying about what kind of season we'll see in the Atlantic later this year. El Nino has a well known tendency to suppress Atlantic storms, contributing to quieter years like 2006 (click image). But now, we're expected to see…
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Anyone care to predict what the impact of a significant hurricane or two might have on the Presidential race?
I've been asking this question since Katrina.
A hurricane strike is more likely to favour Democrats than Republicans. There are multiple reasons - first, the Democrats are for the most part not in the positions of power necessary to screw things up. Second, the extant republican leadership is very, very good at screwing things up. Third, federal hurricane preparations remain very poor, despite two particularly devastating hurricane seasons. And finally, the Republicans have screwed up enough times that Americans are expecting it, and watching for it.
Maybe a few good hurricanes will engage people in CZMA and coastal development issues... Maybe a few biggies will engage the presidential race to chat about climate change and the broad effects of cabon loading...
My $.02
Maybe a few good hurricanes will engage people in CZMA and coastal development issues... Maybe a few biggies will engage the presidential race to chat about climate change and the broad effects of carbon loading...
My $.02
I'm sure if there were a category 2 or higher hurricane the presidential candidates would fall all over themselves to be the one that touted the most sweeping and expensive "preparedness policy" imagineable.
The democratic candidates would of course speak in low tones with furroughed brows about whatever effort FEMA and Bush were foisting. They would all fly to the scene of the calamity and find some backdrop of carnage and destruction to make concerned and empathetic pronouncements. No doubt they would hold the hands of soggy, weepy victims while promising anything they thought might make a good soundbite.