William M. Connolley
stoat
Posts by this author
September 26, 2007
Look at my nice picture. It shows a height-latitude zonal mean of (modelled) temperature, a difference of two 20 year means: 2080-2099 minus 2000-2019. This is for the far-future but we'll pretend its a rough proxy for the present day trends, suitably scaled, shall we.
If you're at all familiar…
September 25, 2007
Via desmogblog, a Nasa article about snow melting in Greenland: NASA Finds Greenland Snow Melting Hit Record High in High Places. A new NASA-supported study reports that 2007 marked an overall rise in the melting trend over the entire Greenland ice sheet and, remarkably, melting in high-altitude…
September 25, 2007
He does if you read FP Passport, whatever that is (thanks Inel). He says Nobody is really arguing about the science. Everybody acknowledges the cost of doing something is a lot less than the cost of doing nothing. Everybody acknowledges that each of us has a part to play. The question is, how do…
September 24, 2007
Eli had a note on this, forgetting of course that I had scooped this long ago :-).
Its worth noting that the paper got slightly weaker after review: the published version says
Whatever the cause of the 1age overestimate, our finding suggests that the phase relationship between CO2 and EDC…
September 24, 2007
I assume this is all mostly a matter of stupidity and mischief making rather than any concerted attack, but the 1971 R+S science paper makes an unexpected comeback. Tim Lambert has the story; Lubos falls for the lies (I'm being a bit inaccurate there: Lubos doesn't fall for it, he jumps in with…
September 22, 2007
So much cynicism just has to be correct. From CIP. Mind you, I think he is too kind to Petraeus.
September 21, 2007
Ethon is in danger of deletion. As it says "Google for "ethon + prometheus -wikipedia" gives a handful of hits from nonreliable sources". Eli unreliable? But at least I now know what all that liver stuff was about.
September 19, 2007
Stein already took the better title. I only mention this because we had that Mike Baillie at BAS a week ago, talking about his theory that comets caused a couple of notable events - the black death amongst them - and not only that, but they caused a "corruption of the air"; by which he meant not…
September 18, 2007
Yes, thats right, all the power plants will be in Northern Ireland, ha ha. Anyway Huhne plans zero-carbon Britain sez the grauniad. Interesting. The policy paper is here, reassuringly titled "final". Nice to see a major party advocating this stuff.
There are lots of bits in there, but the bit I was…
September 18, 2007
From the grauniad: Surfers fear smaller swell as Atlantic wave farm approved. Well you can't make everyone happy.
September 17, 2007
Inel drags me into the polar bear wars again by quoting the Heartland Institute: "Real-world evidence shows polar bear numbers are increasing rapidly throughout the Arctic". She offers no evidence against this, which is fair enough as they offer no evidence for it past the bare (geddit?) assertion…
September 17, 2007
A reader writes... I trust you will critique Ingrid is born; Humberto and Felix--a sign of climate change?. Naturally I'm stupid enough to fall for that sort of a challenge.
On the issue of cat5 records I think he misses the obvious point (stoat passim): cat5 numbers are low, their statistics are…
September 16, 2007
Looking back over the past sea ice record, I see that a min year is very rarely followed by another record. But some people are getting so carried away by this years ice, they might not realise that. So does anyone want to put an interesting amount of money, at (say) even odds, on there being a…
September 15, 2007
A reader writes... why don't I write about the Arctic sea ice? The answer is, what is there to say that others haven't already? Cryosphere today seems to be a good source, from which my graph is taken. Actually there is something to say which others don't seem to, which is "don't get too carried…
September 13, 2007
I happened to be visiting ESA's page, and found its image of the week, which is Rotterdam. So I thought I'd look at googles version and - its much better. And of course you can scroll in to far better detail.
And conveniently embed it here, so lets have a play:
View Larger Map
[Update: several…
September 13, 2007
I don't suppose you are, but this rather indicates his casual attitude towards the truth: "I was selling the house anyway and they asked me if I would be willing to tell people I was selling the house because I was afraid somebody might solve the puzzle too fast. I said 'yes'. They said, 'Don't you…
September 12, 2007
The title tells you what I'm going to say, doesn't it? Ah well.
Desmogblog seems to have gone hyperbolic: Dr. Robert L. Park, a professor of physics at the University of Maryland, was more blunt about the importance of DSCOVR's data: "Not knowing may kill us." He is on record as stating that…
September 12, 2007
Ive just finsihed a nice puzzle game. It has 30 levels; if you get to the end all you get is "you won" but its fun.
And another thing... sign o' the times: Miriams new bike comes with a CD
September 12, 2007
On another topic... I did my bees last sunday. Only a little honey, and I left them that for the winter. Disappointing: it must have been a poor summer. It *was* a fairly rainy summer. Hopefully this isn't the first sign of colony collapse: presumably not, as there were plenty of them.
[Maybe I…
September 10, 2007
And they don't come more mega than polar bears. There's a new report out, ClimateFeedback has blogged it, so I feel duty bound to snark about it.
Skipping rapidly over the press release (note how the "will" of the title is "could" in the text) we come to the reports themselves. And how nice: there…
September 8, 2007
I notice that the Economist, which was always pro-Iraq-war, and for a long time insisted on reserving judgement as to whether it would suceed, now calls it a "disaster".
Meanwhile Thucydides proffers his advice to CIP. I'd go for partition, myself.
September 6, 2007
Thanks to Inel for finding this; look there for the links. So Schwartz (yes that Schwartz) said: "The latest report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change assesses the skill of climate models by their ability to reproduce warming over the twentieth century, but in doing so may give a…
September 6, 2007
http://www.zerocarbonbritain.org/ says that Britain can eliminate emissions from fossil fuels in 20 years... by halving energy demand and installing massive renewable energy generation. This contradicts my memories of a talk by David MacKay which (I recall) said that no plausible amount of UK…
September 5, 2007
Interesting post over at Green Business News, suggesting an imbalance. In fact there are two possible balances: between green taxes and green spending, and the taxes and the social costs. It would seem neat that the taxes ought to balance the social costs (but they don't in other areas) but since…
September 5, 2007
It seems to be my fate to complain about "The intersection". Now lookit their latest post. The bottom line? global warming results in sea turtle decline (emphasis in the original). Its exciting news: the most dramatic link I've seen yet demonstrating how that pesky troublemaker climate change is…
September 5, 2007
For light relief, look at the pic at CM's latest h post, and if nothing springs to mind, check the comments :-)
September 4, 2007
The kerfuffle over my intemperate denunciation of Chris Mooney refers. Check the comments.
As CM observes, "There have now been eight Category 5 Atlantic hurricanes in the past five years (Isabel, Ivan, Emily, Katrina, Rita, Wilma, Dean, Felix); There have been two Atlantic Category 5s so far this…
September 3, 2007
"I can't get over these numbers: The 1980s saw three official Category 5 hurricanes. The 1990s saw two. The 2000s, so far, have seen eight..." says Chris Mooney.
But what are these numbers supposed to mean?
Well, Chris doesn't say what they mean, but since he talks about paradigm shifts (!?!) I'm…
September 3, 2007
Interesting article Why the BBC should stand up to its climate campaign critics about whether the BBC should be campaigning on climate change. They have a charter, so they can go all lawyerly and examine whether they are acting in accordance with it. But the same question applies to scientists.
[…
September 1, 2007
I've been looking for a suitable title to note the end of RP Sr's blog. I quite liked FB's, though I was going to go with "another one bites the dust" (QS, RP Jr, then Sr) but now RP has solved the problem for me. For a blog that had a lot of interesting science, its a shame to end like this.
After…