I briefly noted this study yesterday, but now W. D. Craft analyzes it in great detail:
I am pessimistic that the authors' more careful conclusions and recommendations will be noticed. Instead I fear we're in for more naive calls for "abstinence education" and coerced virginity pledges.
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Color me shocked: Teens who promise to wait for marriage more likely to deny sexual history
Teenagers who take pledges to remain virgins until marriage are likely to deny having taken the pledge if they later become sexually active. Conversely, those who were sexual active before taking the pledge…
Another study finds that abstinence-only sex ed is a failure. Not that it will matter, proponents of such fantasy solutions will just close their eyes and pray harder.
Teens who take virginity pledges are just as likely to have sex as teens who don't make such promises -- and they're less likely to…
Yet another study confirms what we've known for a long time, abstinence education doesn't work:
The new analysis of data from a large federal survey found that more than half of youths became sexually active before marriage regardless of whether they had taken a "virginity pledge," but that the…
Two new studies are showing the dangers of abstinence-only sex education. Both are reported here. Because abstinence-only programs are forbidden to even mention that condoms can help prevent pregnancy and STDs - it is literally illegal for them to mention anything about condoms other than failure…
Those who don't want to have sex less likely to have sex. News at 11.
Really, the notion that you can identify people with "characteristics indicating an inclination to pledge initiate intercourse" who actually won't make such a pledge is pretty silly. If they really had such an inclination they'd do it.