Tim Lambert
tlambert
Posts by this author
May 28, 2001
Mary Woods wrote:
Kellermann also used a control case study, limiting his cases to the
following criteria; "Any death ruled a homicide was included, regardless
of the method used. Assault related injuries that were not immediately
fatal were included if death followed within three months." ( NEMJ…
May 24, 2001
circe wrote:
In homes with guns the homicide of a household member is three times
more likely to occur than in homes without guns. New England Journal
1993;329.1084-1091.
David Friedman writes:
You may also have noticed that the death rate in hospitals is much
higher than in hotels. So if only…
April 12, 2001
Lott grossly misrepresents Kellermann's study. He states that "they fail to
report that in only 8 of these 444 homicide cases could it be established
that the gun involved had been kept in the home." Kellermann et al do indeed
fail to report that, but that is because it is not true. They do note…
September 1, 2000
(from The Criminologist Vol 25, No 5 Sep/Oct 2000 pp 1,6)
In a recent issue of the Criminologist, Otis Duncan raises concerns about my writings. He discusses a wide range of issues from the estimated number of defensive gun uses and the rate at which defensive uses result in the gun being fired…
January 1, 2000
This post contains extracts from Chapter 23 Private Defence of Textbook of Criminal Law by Glanville L Williams (2nd Ed 1983).
Summary
In general, private defence is an excuse for any crime against the person or property. It probably applies to the defence even of a stranger, and may be used…
January 1, 2000
Otis Dudley Duncan, University of California, Santa Barbara
(from The Criminologist Vol 25, No 1 Jan/Feb 2000 pp 1-7)
We who work hard to produce statistics for public consumption would do well to acquire a little historical perspective. Theodore Porter's wide-ranging Trust in Numbers: The…
June 22, 1999
Ray writes:
Danny's obvious reading disability has not allowed him to
read this when I posted it before. Maybe he can get a friend to
read it to him this time:
W A Collier writes:
Ray, one question for you: If all these other folks including Marvin E.
Wolfgang (widely acclaimed as a…
June 22, 1999
W A Collier writes:
How the NCVS miscounted DGUs
Undersized sample, poor methodology, bias in the questions, unsound
methods and procedures in eliminating bias, and unlike Kleck, they
started with the conclusion (there are only a small number of gun
defenses) as an objective to be proven (not the…
June 11, 1999
I argued that the estimate of 200,000 DG woundings derived from
Kleck's survey (p163 of TG) was inconsistent the estimate of
7700-18,500 DG woundings on page 164 of TG. Kleck accuses me of
sloppy reading for not noting that the p 164 estimate is for medically
treated wounds only. However, even if…
June 10, 1999
Gary Kleck writes:
my position that estimates of DGUs with a wounding are unstable is
correct. The prevalence of DGUs with a wounding in the Kleck-Gertz
(K-G) survey was 0.0011 (1.326% of U.S. adults had a DGU of some
kind in the previous year, and 8.3% of DGUs involved a wounding --
see pp. 184-…
April 18, 1999
Dan Z wrote:
Yeah, that's really odd. According to figures published in the
International
Journal of Epidemiology, in 1994, Northern Ireland had an adjusted
homicide
rate of 5.85 and Scotland was 2.24. It looks to me like the rate for
Northern
Ireland is greater
What does "adjusted" mean here?…
November 23, 1998
Gun Control Advocates Purvey Deadly Myths
Wall Street Journal, 11 Nov. 1998
By John R. Lott Jr.
The family gun is more likely to kill you or someone
you know than to kill in self-defense. The 1993 study
yielding such numbers, published in the New England
Journal of Medicine, never…
November 19, 1998
Gun Control Advocates Purvey Deadly Myths
Wall Street Journal, 11 Nov. 1998
By John R. Lott JR.
The U.S. has a high murder rate because Americans own
so many guns. There is no international evidence
backing this up. The Swiss, New Zealanders and Finns
all own guns as frequently as…
July 29, 1998
I used to believe that Kleck's estimate of DGU's was correct, but
overwhelming evidence to the contrary has convinced me otherwise.
Sam A. Kersh writes:
To the best of my knowledge, you have never accepted Kleck's DGU
estimates. At least not in the last 5 years that you and I (and Pim)
have…
June 22, 1998
bob (really Edgar Suter?) writes:
From an early DRAFT of Gary Kleck's TARGETING GUNS : FIREARMS AND
THEIR CONTROL scheduled to be published this month:
The Medical/Public Health Literature on Guns and Violence
False Citation of Prior Research
One final problem in the medical/public health…
June 5, 1998
Dr. Paul H. Blackman writes:
Just a very few comments: Folks can report an incident to the police
without reporting gun use. I once fetched a gun to encourage some
burglars to leave, and reported the burglary but not the gun use,
since the gun possession was unlawful.
The Kleck estimate is not…
June 3, 1998
0. Introduction
Volume 87:4 of the Journal of Criminal Law and Criminology contains
three articles on the issue of the frequency of defensive gun use.
The first presents David Hemenway's critique of Gary Kleck's 2.5
million estimate, the second is Kleck and Gertz's reply and finally
Tom Smith of…
May 8, 1998
John Briggs writes:
Also, the Crime Incident Report that follows the Basic Screen Questionnaire
seems to elicit details (including defensive responses) regarding only the
most recent of multiple similar reported crime incidents. Questions 2 and 3
ask about the when and where of "this/the first…
May 7, 1998
Note that even if you are in love with Kleck's estimate for DGUs, you
can't honestly compare it with the NCVS estimate for gun crimes, since
it is not possible for both Kleck's estimate for DGUs and the NCVS
estimate for gun crimes to be correct.
Dr. Paul H. Blackman writes:
Why not? NCVS's…
December 18, 1997
" THE 'PSYCHIC COST' OF HOLIDAY GIFT-GIVING"
By Dr. Paul Gallant and David Kopel
The approach of the holiday season brings a perennial problem:
what to give the relative or good friend who already has a VCR?
For many American gift-givers the answer has often been a
high-quality firearm. Perhaps…
November 25, 1997
Dan Day wrote:
I've reread that a number of times and still can't figure out
exactly what Kellermann is trying to say. The best I can make out
is that Kellermann is claiming that self-defense homicides are not
legally justifiable (?)
You missed the bit where he defined the meaning of those terms…
November 22, 1997
It is disingenous for Kleck to take a quotation of Kellerman's out of
context to make it appear that Kellermann was asserting that only 2%
of of homicides were lawful defensive homicides.
Dan Day wrote:
Well, your own summary isn't entirely accurate either. Here's the
passage in question:
Less…
November 22, 1997
Charles Scripter wrote:
Here we fit the NSW "before" region to a slope + constant background,
while the "after" region is fit only to a slope (chance resulted in
this slope passing through, or very close to zero, eliminating the
need for a constant, 4th parameter). The origin is located at year…
November 20, 1997
Edgar Suter wrote:
From an early DRAFT of Gary Kleck's TARGETING GUNS : FIREARMS AND THEIR CONTROL
scheduled to be published this month:
The Medical/Public Health Literature on Guns and Violence
False Citation of Prior Research
In a 1992 article [Kellermann AL, Rivara FP, Somes G, et al. Suicide…
November 14, 1997
EdgarSuter wrote:
whether or not Mr. Lambert disagrees with a single quote of my
assessment of the harmful nostrum of gun control, he has yet to
explain the habitual fabricated citations of Kellermann (noted in
my letter to Emerg Med News)
All right, let's have a look at the first one:
citation of…
October 28, 1997
Charles Scripter wrote:
[...regarding Tim Lambert's assertion of a significant decrease in homicide
in New South Wales in 1920, coincident with the enactment of a gun control
law in NSW in that same year...]
The Lambert analysis method
clearly shows that there was a significant decrease for any…
September 24, 1997
A large number of criminal shootings are
"drive-bys" --- fired from long range and more likely to hit an
extremity than a self-defence shooting at close range. These factors
suggest that defensive shootings would be more lethal than criminal ones.
John Briggs writes:
Any data on the proportions…
September 23, 1997
Alan Peyton-Smith writes:
Oh, BTW, I have good reason to believe that this Brian Ross we're
talking about is the same Brian Ross who created a few extra Internet
accounts for himself under false names such as David Bowman and Kylie
Minogue and Tim Lambert and possibly several others.
Are you…
September 15, 1997
John Briggs writes:
[Calculation of number of justifiable shootings deleted]
This would suggest 15,000 to
20,000 civilian justifiable woundings or 17,500 to 22,500 incidents in
which a civilian shot and hit an assailant.
Kleck does a similar calculation in "Point Blank" to get an estimate
of 10,…
September 11, 1997
Viktor writes:
Of course, we know here in America that the highest crime rates for
the past 50 years are in the cities that have the strictest gun
control laws (Washington, D.C., New York City, Chicago, Detroit)
imposed on innocent people - the distinction being, there can be no
gun control that is…